{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af993ea4-d003-418a-b2f7-b756bc5458a6", "symbol": "PGM", "name": "Platina Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -0.857, "architecture_energy": 14.721, "architecture_maturity": 95.161, "architecture_confidence": 57.724, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.37, "rotation_up": 38.5, "upward_expansion": 33.15, "deceleration": 47.3, "rotation_down": 14.59, "downward_expansion": 41.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.023267, 0.022345, 0.021919, 0.022987 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.024, "trend_reference": 0.025317, "distance_from_trend": -0.052008, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.024, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.0, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.294486, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.172414, "excess_performance": -0.236119, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052008, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137911, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104033, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.172945, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020677, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.172414, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.020549, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2727967, "relative_activity": 1.841701, "balance": 1.020549, "dry_up": 0.775806, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102564, "annualized_volatility": 0.638824, "from_high_reference": -0.466667, "from_low_reference": 0.263158 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.025317, "fair_value_reference": 0.024, "structural_low": 0.019, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.03125, "positive_rate": 0.387097, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": -0.01851, "regime_survival": 0.870968, "best_return": 0.409091, "worst_return": -0.292683, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.069358, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.063355, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.210526, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.043478, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.066235, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.75, "worst_return": -0.459459, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 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0.021467, 0.021027, 0.021536, 0.023541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.025, "volume": 442386, "typical_volume": 1761646.1, "trend": 0.02655, "fair_value": 0.024051, "relative_strength": -8.893268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.768603, "energy": 19.927842, "activity_lines": [ 0.022833, 0.021745, 0.021752, 0.023404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.022, "volume": 89319, "typical_volume": 1541852.25, "trend": 0.025917, "fair_value": 0.024013, "relative_strength": -21.665218, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.829901, "energy": 19.201846, "activity_lines": [ 0.0228, 0.021864, 0.021726, 0.023111 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.024, "volume": 2727967, "typical_volume": 1481221.55, "trend": 0.025317, "fair_value": 0.024, "relative_strength": -17.294486, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.857081, "energy": 14.720717, "activity_lines": [ 0.023267, 0.022345, 0.021919, 0.022987 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }