{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "afaaf5cc-91b6-47c9-b6f2-91df86e7410b",
    "symbol": "CVS",
    "name": "CVS Health Corporation",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 52.331,
    "architecture_energy": 48.338,
    "architecture_maturity": 84.405,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.349,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.71,
        "rotation_up": 48.09,
        "upward_expansion": 71.95,
        "deceleration": 62.65,
        "rotation_down": 27.0,
        "downward_expansion": 19.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        89.485358,
        89.903734,
        85.60619,
        80.803499
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 82.599998,
    "trend_reference": 75.204068,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.098345,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.892104,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.379147,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.249241,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.261227,
    "excess_performance": 0.196587,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098345,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113638,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.379147,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057839,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082492,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12253,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.261227,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.816214,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4388,
      "relative_activity": 3.276828,
      "balance": 0.816214,
      "dry_up": 1.599769,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065916,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.348849,
      "from_high_reference": -0.144041,
      "from_low_reference": 0.529021
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 75.204068,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.892104,
      "structural_low": 60.492774,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.007612,
        "positive_rate": 0.52,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012064,
        "regime_survival": 0.72,
        "best_return": 0.122754,
        "worst_return": -0.140113,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015341,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.144898,
        "worst_return": -0.211916,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.003078,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.188259,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.380083,
        "sufficient": false
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.547889,
        "energy": 12.459997,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.174122,
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          64.911398,
          65.247967
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 70.959999,
        "volume": 407,
        "typical_volume": 1974.45,
        "trend": 65.861059,
        "fair_value": 57.268634,
        "relative_strength": 13.544993,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.361749,
        "energy": 32.172531,
        "activity_lines": [
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          65.74526,
          65.448482,
          65.58988
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 5202,
        "typical_volume": 2209.3,
        "trend": 66.22153,
        "fair_value": 57.397686,
        "relative_strength": 20.502209,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.752712,
        "energy": 78.578333,
        "activity_lines": [
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          66.233682
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 83.199997,
        "volume": 1755,
        "typical_volume": 2282.7,
        "trend": 66.719525,
        "fair_value": 57.569525,
        "relative_strength": 33.10955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.753644,
        "energy": 94.40382,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.333389,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 1076,
        "typical_volume": 2290.5,
        "trend": 67.105415,
        "fair_value": 57.733608,
        "relative_strength": 23.336958,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.026665,
        "energy": 93.019973,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.174666,
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          69.380335,
          68.234905
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 78.080002,
        "volume": 1701,
        "typical_volume": 2283.65,
        "trend": 67.530089,
        "fair_value": 57.869021,
        "relative_strength": 17.468353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.057735,
        "energy": 88.136986,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.045333,
          74.681669,
          70.374839,
          68.942942
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 83.239998,
        "volume": 650,
        "typical_volume": 2240.55,
        "trend": 68.087216,
        "fair_value": 58.026359,
        "relative_strength": 25.911251,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.95115,
        "energy": 92.476526,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.869333,
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          69.956485
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 88.559998,
        "volume": 238,
        "typical_volume": 2128.05,
        "trend": 68.826579,
        "fair_value": 58.240667,
        "relative_strength": 33.469289,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.349243,
        "energy": 93.699902,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 58.424897,
        "relative_strength": 25.269846,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.887139,
        "energy": 82.199467,
        "activity_lines": [
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          72.314603
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 872,
        "typical_volume": 1913.9,
        "trend": 70.254682,
        "fair_value": 58.655807,
        "relative_strength": 35.651648,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.508299,
        "energy": 88.733569,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.216281,
          83.875874,
          77.056977,
          73.748044
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 90.128006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1479.8,
        "trend": 71.125404,
        "fair_value": 58.874309,
        "relative_strength": 26.560021,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.79357,
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        "activity_lines": [
          88.828165,
          85.648206,
          78.743432,
          75.030194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 91.180626,
        "volume": 664,
        "typical_volume": 1454.55,
        "trend": 71.94199,
        "fair_value": 59.100234,
        "relative_strength": 30.354149,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.672585,
        "energy": 81.450291,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.987722,
          87.183779,
          80.413339,
          76.32408
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 94.139877,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 1347.55,
        "trend": 72.889246,
        "fair_value": 59.318941,
        "relative_strength": 34.303097,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.017558,
        "energy": 81.743433,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.604321,
          88.889749,
          82.234926,
          77.756201
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 94.5,
        "volume": 1698,
        "typical_volume": 1176.8,
        "trend": 73.866156,
        "fair_value": 59.539275,
        "relative_strength": 31.848063,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.906507,
        "energy": 75.091006,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.968969,
          90.328472,
          83.957456,
          79.150444
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 91.58,
        "volume": 1383,
        "typical_volume": 1151.35,
        "trend": 74.691478,
        "fair_value": 59.747712,
        "relative_strength": 23.998255,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.889169,
        "energy": 65.1399,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.720593,
          91.03083,
          85.269412,
          80.293272
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 82.599998,
        "volume": 4388,
        "typical_volume": 1339.1,
        "trend": 75.204068,
        "fair_value": 59.892104,
        "relative_strength": 8.249241,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.330941,
        "energy": 48.337755,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.485358,
          89.903734,
          85.60619,
          80.803499
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}