{ "ticker": { "uuid": "afb3b228-0b44-430b-b47b-688bc3e69cec", "symbol": "GRC", "name": "Gold Springs Resource Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.891, "architecture_energy": 88.408, "architecture_maturity": 40.604, "architecture_confidence": 79.81, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.32, "rotation_up": 9.27, "upward_expansion": 21.46, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 77.81, "downward_expansion": 94.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.072, 0.075273, 0.078, 0.08172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.07, "trend_reference": 0.088333, "distance_from_trend": -0.207547, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.085769, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.183857, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.045107, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.363636, "excess_performance": -0.484058, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.207547, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02214, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.183857, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097473, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.300451, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078449, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363636, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.868463, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80800, "relative_activity": 0.396905, "balance": 1.868463, "dry_up": 0.3748, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065934, "annualized_volatility": 0.933158, "from_high_reference": -0.461538, "from_low_reference": 0.166667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.088333, "fair_value_reference": 0.085769, "structural_low": 0.06, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.002803, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.272727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.071429, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.035189, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.045455, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.120799, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.125, "worst_return": -0.35, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.272727, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.291626, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.35, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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"relative_strength": -20.331546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.900256, "energy": 40.9675, "activity_lines": [ 0.08, 0.081091, 0.081571, 0.085398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.07, "volume": 154400, "typical_volume": 224875.0, "trend": 0.089, "fair_value": 0.086154, "relative_strength": -29.710418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.616237, "energy": 67.990342, "activity_lines": [ 0.076667, 0.078909, 0.08019, 0.084151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.07, "volume": 36000, "typical_volume": 209305.0, "trend": 0.088667, "fair_value": 0.085962, "relative_strength": -28.589238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.74559, "energy": 82.682663, "activity_lines": [ 0.074, 0.076909, 0.079048, 0.082925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.07, "volume": 80800, "typical_volume": 203575.0, "trend": 0.088333, "fair_value": 0.085769, "relative_strength": -30.045107, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.890964, "energy": 88.407568, "activity_lines": [ 0.072, 0.075273, 0.078, 0.08172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }