{ "ticker": { "uuid": "afcc0e78-be97-4de5-9c02-d91824a54b16", "symbol": "5516", "name": "Sun-Sea Construction Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.465, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.093, "architecture_energy": 14.977, "architecture_maturity": 64.374, "architecture_confidence": 58.06, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.88, "rotation_up": 38.56, "upward_expansion": 33.02, "deceleration": 47.06, "rotation_down": 20.21, "downward_expansion": 46.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.553333, 11.194545, 11.083333, 11.466774 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 11.9, "trend_reference": 12.225, "distance_from_trend": -0.026585, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.252319, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.310238, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.743464, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.211921, "excess_performance": -0.653293, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026585, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077475, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.310238, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109304, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.367435, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123308, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.211921, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.041241, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 883430, "relative_activity": 2.471851, "balance": 1.041241, "dry_up": 1.561202, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07563, "annualized_volatility": 0.278213, "from_high_reference": -0.3, "from_low_reference": 0.19 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.225, "fair_value_reference": 17.252319, "structural_low": 10.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.005076, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.033093, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.155388, "worst_return": -0.132653, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.027296, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.070658, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.125, "worst_return": -0.220056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.091362, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.263675, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.142132, "worst_return": -0.236769, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 302195.1, "trend": 12.446667, "fair_value": 17.545011, "relative_strength": -43.167467, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.493846, "energy": 44.931682, "activity_lines": [ 10.603333, 10.703636, 10.984048, 11.595161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.85, "volume": 149000, "typical_volume": 280371.2, "trend": 12.351667, "fair_value": 17.448604, "relative_strength": -40.506624, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.976607, "energy": 39.579306, "activity_lines": [ 10.673333, 10.726364, 10.927143, 11.492151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.35, "volume": 1012420, "typical_volume": 320126.4, "trend": 12.291667, "fair_value": 17.357684, "relative_strength": -32.97332, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.636285, "energy": 11.124209, "activity_lines": [ 11.246667, 11.019091, 11.025, 11.492043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.9, "volume": 883430, "typical_volume": 357396.15, "trend": 12.225, "fair_value": 17.252319, "relative_strength": -36.743464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.092806, "energy": 14.977434, "activity_lines": [ 11.553333, 11.194545, 11.083333, 11.466774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }