{ "ticker": { "uuid": "afcc6611-6cbb-40df-86a7-8ad3ad429739", "symbol": "TARMAT", "name": "Tarmat Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.809, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.252, "architecture_energy": 21.076, "architecture_maturity": 43.137, "architecture_confidence": 78.035, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.62, "rotation_up": 25.61, "upward_expansion": 15.91, "deceleration": 42.63, "rotation_down": 39.11, "downward_expansion": 65.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.636668, 50.439273, 51.136048, 52.104731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 52.700001, "trend_reference": 53.059333, "distance_from_trend": -0.006772, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 69.327628, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.239841, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.474243, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.01624, "excess_performance": 0.027469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006772, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009002, "read": "Falling" 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47.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.018079, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": 0.004649, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.262074, "worst_return": -0.209433, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.009927, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.058245, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.266098, "worst_return": -0.255307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058212, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.058616, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.044996, "worst_return": -0.336518, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.872515, "energy": 63.99451, "activity_lines": [ 50.142667, 50.884727, 51.994333, 52.802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.299999, "volume": 16755, "typical_volume": 61742.5, "trend": 53.023333, "fair_value": 69.54859, "relative_strength": -7.251488, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.534387, "energy": 73.643498, "activity_lines": [ 49.337333, 50.325272, 51.473429, 52.489333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.950001, "volume": 75753, "typical_volume": 45861.0, "trend": 52.988, "fair_value": 69.464936, "relative_strength": 0.25067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.260155, "energy": 61.25456, "activity_lines": [ 49.658, 50.335818, 51.313667, 52.35557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.330002, "volume": 25176, "typical_volume": 40986.2, "trend": 52.93, "fair_value": 69.377628, "relative_strength": -5.239978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.642638, "energy": 46.446078, "activity_lines": [ 49.533334, 50.051818, 51.061429, 52.11957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.700001, "volume": 63919, "typical_volume": 40046.05, "trend": 53.059333, "fair_value": 69.327628, "relative_strength": 0.474243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.25177, "energy": 21.075602, "activity_lines": [ 50.636668, 50.439273, 51.136048, 52.104731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }