{ "ticker": { "uuid": "afcfa61b-537e-4695-9286-2f8b9d2e7f66", "symbol": "VFF", "name": "Village Farms International Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.907, "architecture_energy": 48.291, "architecture_maturity": 91.13, "architecture_confidence": 63.96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.83, "rotation_up": 27.07, "upward_expansion": 20.04, "deceleration": 65.95, "rotation_down": 42.19, "downward_expansion": 67.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.99, 1.977091, 2.16181, 2.36043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.08, "trend_reference": 2.65, "distance_from_trend": -0.215094, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.590699, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307601, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.167268, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.358025, "excess_performance": -0.545478, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.215094, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174026, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.307601, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.443112, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.381673, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.185822, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.358025, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.52059, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3808391, "relative_activity": 0.768905, "balance": 0.52059, "dry_up": 0.714678, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105399, "annualized_volatility": 0.514854, "from_high_reference": -0.583166, "from_low_reference": 0.152355 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.65, "fair_value_reference": 1.590699, "structural_low": 1.805, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.070922, "positive_rate": 0.341463, "directional_follow_through": 0.658537, "median_excess_return": -0.079131, "regime_survival": 0.95122, "best_return": 0.783841, "worst_return": -0.388626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.221569, "positive_rate": 0.153846, "directional_follow_through": 0.846154, "median_excess_return": -0.223116, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.708719, "worst_return": -0.454545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.410784, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.289099, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 3.215905, "worst_return": -0.569231, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 1.565681, "relative_strength": -39.104483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.500962, "energy": 62.344916, "activity_lines": [ 1.97, 2.041091, 2.29019, 2.511097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.93, "volume": 2821772, "typical_volume": 5496871.75, "trend": 2.754, "fair_value": 1.574098, "relative_strength": -39.404933, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.296713, "energy": 61.770596, "activity_lines": [ 1.962667, 1.998909, 2.23681, 2.453914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.92, "volume": 4378780, "typical_volume": 5256124.55, "trend": 2.695, "fair_value": 1.582814, "relative_strength": -40.048371, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.93537, "energy": 57.544587, "activity_lines": [ 1.950667, 1.967273, 2.189429, 2.400108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.08, "volume": 3808391, "typical_volume": 4953008.2, "trend": 2.65, "fair_value": 1.590699, "relative_strength": -38.167268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.906832, "energy": 48.29129, "activity_lines": [ 1.99, 1.977091, 2.16181, 2.36043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }