{ "ticker": { "uuid": "afe0bbff-a981-4870-9bb5-eb1ff23be1d9", "symbol": "GGRA", "name": "WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.47, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.474, "architecture_energy": 67.931, "architecture_maturity": 53.878, "architecture_confidence": 72.046, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 61.05, "upward_expansion": 84.76, "deceleration": 67.21, "rotation_down": 25.34, "downward_expansion": 11.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.336, 43.107545, 42.352118, 41.657322 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44.130001, "trend_reference": 40.945333, "distance_from_trend": 0.077779, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.071182, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190413, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.441837, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.094494, "excess_performance": -0.076398, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077779, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0312, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.190413, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067814, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054418, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02089, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094494, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.733696, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30130, "relative_activity": 0.908058, "balance": 3.733696, "dry_up": 0.843412, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018154, "annualized_volatility": 0.109183, "from_high_reference": -0.027318, "from_low_reference": 0.193509 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.945333, "fair_value_reference": 37.071182, "structural_low": 37.275002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.005746, "positive_rate": 0.594595, "directional_follow_through": 0.594595, "median_excess_return": -0.003544, "regime_survival": 0.702703, "best_return": 0.069006, "worst_return": -0.071897, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.010603, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.01657, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.057238, "worst_return": -0.070025, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.04194, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.000915, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.107511, "worst_return": -0.070238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.541343, "energy": 88.625186, "activity_lines": [ 42.909665, 42.454544, 41.470452, 40.985548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 43.009998, "volume": 29348, "typical_volume": 36147.4, "trend": 40.575333, "fair_value": 36.846182, "relative_strength": -5.081028, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.064117, "energy": 86.209063, "activity_lines": [ 43.007332, 42.633726, 41.689166, 41.150687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 42.895, "volume": 22368, "typical_volume": 35319.1, "trend": 40.695833, "fair_value": 36.915637, "relative_strength": -5.021394, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.27393, "energy": 81.365151, "activity_lines": [ 42.991666, 42.747544, 41.885666, 41.300343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.91, "volume": 30094, "typical_volume": 34198.15, "trend": 40.810999, "fair_value": 36.989227, "relative_strength": -5.475959, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.289353, "energy": 61.711912, "activity_lines": [ 42.972666, 42.829999, 42.069523, 41.443193 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.130001, "volume": 30130, "typical_volume": 33180.7, "trend": 40.945333, "fair_value": 37.071182, "relative_strength": -5.441837, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.474438, "energy": 67.931481, "activity_lines": [ 43.336, 43.107545, 42.352118, 41.657322 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }