{ "ticker": { "uuid": "afe83ffe-08ee-40fa-bce3-2c87947e18b6", "symbol": "REPRO", "name": "Repro India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -10.565, "architecture_energy": 12.33, "architecture_maturity": 14.33, "architecture_confidence": 65.603, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.41, "rotation_up": 31.87, "upward_expansion": 31.87, "deceleration": 38.09, "rotation_down": 23.3, "downward_expansion": 42.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 373.570001, 370.326365, 366.95, 369.268387 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 371.149994, "trend_reference": 378.063333, "distance_from_trend": -0.018286, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 577.169872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.356948, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.451337, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.102527, "excess_performance": -0.058818, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018286, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095636, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.356948, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009198, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.114513, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039554, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.102527, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.602479, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 239936, "relative_activity": 3.115748, "balance": 0.602479, "dry_up": 1.322758, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056964, "annualized_volatility": 0.388668, "from_high_reference": -0.370932, "from_low_reference": 0.208761 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 378.063333, "fair_value_reference": 577.169872, "structural_low": 307.049988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.020765, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.00667, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.557261, "worst_return": -0.142361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.091457, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.062924, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.557746, "worst_return": -0.246944, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.103158, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.148604, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.115666, 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"direction": -15.89117, "energy": 8.508057, "activity_lines": [ 368.403335, 366.236364, 364.382142, 369.969892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 381.950012, "volume": 93261, "typical_volume": 71604.2, "trend": 380.625, "fair_value": 580.054488, "relative_strength": -8.808494, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.990996, "energy": 8.183169, "activity_lines": [ 373.113338, 369.385457, 366.234524, 369.879678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 371.149994, "volume": 239936, "typical_volume": 77007.5, "trend": 378.063333, "fair_value": 577.169872, "relative_strength": -11.451337, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.564765, "energy": 12.329895, "activity_lines": [ 373.570001, 370.326365, 366.95, 369.268387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }