{ "ticker": { "uuid": "afee1cef-8b14-4d68-bd9e-c7efca2d2ccb", "symbol": "DIVIO-B", "name": "Divio Technologies AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.086, "architecture_energy": 71.424, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.601, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 25.24, "upward_expansion": 16.16, "deceleration": 40.04, "rotation_down": 62.02, "downward_expansion": 94.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.055013, 0.057029, 0.060996, 0.068367 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.055, "trend_reference": 0.078762, "distance_from_trend": -0.301693, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.150981, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.635715, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.808339, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.488372, "excess_performance": -0.549866, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.301693, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.211792, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.635715, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014311, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.518083, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034414, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.488372, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.118146, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1938253, "relative_activity": 0.403872, "balance": 2.118146, "dry_up": 0.462895, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135105, "annualized_volatility": 0.727095, "from_high_reference": -0.609929, "from_low_reference": 0.1 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.078762, "fair_value_reference": 0.150981, "structural_low": 0.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.077057, "positive_rate": 0.311111, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.082309, "regime_survival": 0.911111, "best_return": 0.894737, "worst_return": -0.44056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.171809, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.190594, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 1.151625, "worst_return": -0.484841, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.313548, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.34865, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.702857, "worst_return": -0.553757, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 0.153272, "relative_strength": -54.282771, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.530924, "energy": 78.472164, "activity_lines": [ 0.056933, 0.059022, 0.063951, 0.071844 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0546, "volume": 1105490, "typical_volume": 4762899.1, "trend": 0.080762, "fair_value": 0.152103, "relative_strength": -52.187091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.407921, "energy": 73.042436, "activity_lines": [ 0.055653, 0.057913, 0.062347, 0.07003 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.055, "volume": 1938253, "typical_volume": 4799180.4, "trend": 0.078762, "fair_value": 0.150981, "relative_strength": -51.808339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.085949, "energy": 71.423953, "activity_lines": [ 0.055013, 0.057029, 0.060996, 0.068367 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }