{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aff536aa-923c-4f9f-aeb7-26a86c9482b1",
    "symbol": "OVQ",
    "name": "Phillip Sing Income ETF",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.924,
    "architecture_energy": 78.839,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.349,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.996,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.05,
        "rotation_up": 79.38,
        "upward_expansion": 96.31,
        "deceleration": 39.29,
        "rotation_down": 9.99,
        "downward_expansion": 18.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.577133,
        1.555889,
        1.529276,
        1.514312
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.582,
    "trend_reference": 1.50043,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.054364,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.17228,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.349507,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.486896,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.061745,
    "excess_performance": -0.09309,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054364,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025665,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.349507,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012575,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084869,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067927,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061745,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.744658,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 169735,
      "relative_activity": 1.953096,
      "balance": 2.744658,
      "dry_up": 1.423076,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024207,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.12568,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005031,
      "from_low_reference": 0.204462
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.50043,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.17228,
      "structural_low": 1.392,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.00892,
        "positive_rate": 0.702703,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.702703,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002067,
        "regime_survival": 0.837838,
        "best_return": 0.082656,
        "worst_return": -0.040775,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.050333,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002153,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.118479,
        "worst_return": -0.023077,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.108737,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001006,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.174308,
        "worst_return": -0.018755,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.126376,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036008,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.328424,
        "worst_return": -0.020895,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -5.774485,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 37165,
        "typical_volume": 101109.05,
        "trend": 1.477383,
        "fair_value": 1.150748,
        "relative_strength": -4.718064,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 100727.35,
        "trend": 1.482323,
        "fair_value": 1.15507,
        "relative_strength": -6.016434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.990311,
        "energy": 68.783318,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.529681,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.56,
        "volume": 81865,
        "typical_volume": 98169.6,
        "trend": 1.486798,
        "fair_value": 1.159328,
        "relative_strength": -7.230838,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.364643,
        "energy": 74.148796,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.545221,
          1.521374,
          1.505584,
          1.497322
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.569,
        "volume": 131904,
        "typical_volume": 89516.5,
        "trend": 1.491573,
        "fair_value": 1.16355,
        "relative_strength": -7.853578,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.792427,
        "energy": 78.596746,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.557516,
          1.532431,
          1.513175,
          1.502626
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.587,
        "volume": 111189,
        "typical_volume": 88715.6,
        "trend": 1.496297,
        "fair_value": 1.167922,
        "relative_strength": -7.26379,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.010136,
        "energy": 83.238312,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.571043,
          1.545323,
          1.521818,
          1.508782
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.582,
        "volume": 169735,
        "typical_volume": 86905.6,
        "trend": 1.50043,
        "fair_value": 1.17228,
        "relative_strength": -8.486896,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.923608,
        "energy": 78.839255,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.577133,
          1.555889,
          1.529276,
          1.514312
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}