{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aff91a92-f349-4f02-b09d-27e5b52da83e", "symbol": "XERS", "name": "Xeris Pharmaceuticals Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.702, "architecture_energy": 54.215, "architecture_maturity": 33.851, "architecture_confidence": 60.997, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.45, "rotation_up": 58.23, "upward_expansion": 79.74, "deceleration": 69.46, "rotation_down": 19.02, "downward_expansion": 8.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.191333, 8.054364, 7.418905, 7.057656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.93, "trend_reference": 6.802, "distance_from_trend": 0.165834, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.448141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.782767, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.085794, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.131241, "excess_performance": -0.056213, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.165834, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025479, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.782767, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171875, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.040858, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134996, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131241, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.519932, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11519430, "relative_activity": 1.326541, "balance": 1.519932, "dry_up": 0.934349, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08923, "annualized_volatility": 0.386415, "from_high_reference": -0.213294, "from_low_reference": 0.510476 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.802, "fair_value_reference": 4.448141, "structural_low": 5.25, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.020544, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.024976, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.502935, "worst_return": -0.307453, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.030586, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.087015, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.721839, "worst_return": -0.424028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.205675, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.248202, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.673611, "worst_return": -0.45583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"fair_value": 4.377051, "relative_strength": 6.519378, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.687053, "energy": 87.18742, "activity_lines": [ 8.404667, 7.857818, 7.176714, 6.90086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.08, "volume": 5424416, "typical_volume": 8487529.95, "trend": 6.802, "fair_value": 4.411923, "relative_strength": 2.536693, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.38878, "energy": 76.616074, "activity_lines": [ 8.336, 7.986909, 7.31119, 6.984882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.93, "volume": 11519430, "typical_volume": 8683807.75, "trend": 6.802, "fair_value": 4.448141, "relative_strength": -4.085794, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.701867, "energy": 54.215053, "activity_lines": [ 8.191333, 8.054364, 7.418905, 7.057656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }