{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b006aa22-5e8d-4dfe-ac6b-2da368799e3c",
    "symbol": "508",
    "name": "Fuji Offset Plates Manufacturing Ltd",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 95.337,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -46.889,
    "architecture_energy": 64.881,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.435,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.71,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.36,
        "rotation_up": 14.04,
        "upward_expansion": 26.91,
        "deceleration": 50.61,
        "rotation_down": 69.38,
        "downward_expansion": 49.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.58,
        0.622182,
        0.645462,
        0.638172
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.52,
    "trend_reference": 0.634484,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.180436,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.392364,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.3253,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -29.324771,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.167299,
    "excess_performance": -0.322134,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180436,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041645,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.3253,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.247967,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.293248,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12327,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167299,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.693714,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.693714,
      "dry_up": 0.009527,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095414,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.765554,
      "from_high_reference": -0.409091,
      "from_low_reference": 0.070615
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.634484,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.392364,
      "structural_low": 0.485702,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.048581,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030088,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.552075,
        "worst_return": -0.045454,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.230752,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.155995,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.872907,
        "worst_return": -0.032261,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.17492,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.110145,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 1.922076,
        "worst_return": -0.184815,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.149575,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037447,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.174197,
        "worst_return": 0.124954,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 1.640002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.131736,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.160839,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.180001,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.084747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.120371,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.14,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.327434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.082192,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.312215,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3655.0,
        "trend": 0.312162,
        "fair_value": 0.311273,
        "relative_strength": 3.206756,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 95470.0,
        "trend": 0.588956,
        "fair_value": 0.362303,
        "relative_strength": -16.997736,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.155126,
        "energy": 15.263353,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 117360.0,
        "trend": 0.595798,
        "fair_value": 0.365339,
        "relative_strength": 13.412992,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 40.52287,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 121630.0,
        "trend": 0.604278,
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        "relative_strength": 3.766395,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": 71.963385,
        "energy": 63.919592,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 123325.0,
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        "relative_strength": 1.923703,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 65.442472,
        "energy": 73.342562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 54500,
        "typical_volume": 124455.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.373229,
        "relative_strength": 2.592892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 63.325551,
        "energy": 77.815397,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 125665.0,
        "trend": 0.617962,
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        "relative_strength": 0.114843,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 62.784295,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 0.378232,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 60.557398,
        "energy": 62.367122,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 1500,
        "typical_volume": 125015.0,
        "trend": 0.626292,
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        "relative_strength": -6.086804,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.783712,
        "energy": 34.6824,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.67,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 116470.0,
        "trend": 0.630784,
        "fair_value": 0.382819,
        "relative_strength": -6.241605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.253407,
        "energy": 23.488636,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.684667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.67,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 112435.0,
        "trend": 0.633623,
        "fair_value": 0.385113,
        "relative_strength": -9.11965,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.733567,
        "energy": 22.712514,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.676333,
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          0.660522,
          0.648958
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.67,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 105400.0,
        "trend": 0.636462,
        "fair_value": 0.387406,
        "relative_strength": -8.886784,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.725178,
        "energy": 23.464669,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.672,
          0.689364,
          0.663645,
          0.651305
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.67,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 101610.0,
        "trend": 0.639962,
        "fair_value": 0.3897,
        "relative_strength": -9.40018,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.771553,
        "energy": 22.310189,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.67,
          0.682182,
          0.667165,
          0.653469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.52,
        "volume": 3000,
        "typical_volume": 96810.0,
        "trend": 0.63714,
        "fair_value": 0.391032,
        "relative_strength": -29.270943,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.143511,
        "energy": 36.601672,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.62,
          0.650091,
          0.65623,
          0.64573
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.52,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 78720.0,
        "trend": 0.634484,
        "fair_value": 0.392364,
        "relative_strength": -29.324771,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -46.889158,
        "energy": 64.880891,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.58,
          0.622182,
          0.645462,
          0.638172
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}