{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b021850c-31b6-4539-8c4c-2117db21aa84",
    "symbol": "002068",
    "name": "Jiangxi Black Cat Carbon Black Inc.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 88.444,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -21.917,
    "architecture_energy": 38.449,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.371,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.809,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.67,
        "rotation_up": 16.7,
        "upward_expansion": 19.75,
        "deceleration": 68.18,
        "rotation_down": 66.62,
        "downward_expansion": 42.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.013333,
        9.504,
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        9.719097
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 8.06,
    "trend_reference": 9.572333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.15799,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.675769,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.166991,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.375338,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.20198,
    "excess_performance": -0.20938,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.15799,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027515,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166991,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157866,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213753,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01607,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.20198,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.125382,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 134011484,
      "relative_activity": 1.129802,
      "balance": 1.125382,
      "dry_up": 1.355361,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.22762,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.893902,
      "from_high_reference": -0.484325,
      "from_low_reference": 0.204783
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.572333,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.675769,
      "structural_low": 6.69,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.031254,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017104,
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        "worst_return": -0.29071,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.357951,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.09973,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 121180343.75,
        "trend": 9.597667,
        "fair_value": 9.706218,
        "relative_strength": -22.454411,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.639389,
        "energy": 38.367228,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.06,
        "volume": 134011484,
        "typical_volume": 118615038.6,
        "trend": 9.572333,
        "fair_value": 9.675769,
        "relative_strength": -21.375338,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.916659,
        "energy": 38.448722,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}