{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b02741ae-fa0a-4656-935c-e50ec6500f2c", "symbol": "CWR", "name": "Ceres Power Holdings plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.21, "architecture_energy": 50.419, "architecture_maturity": 9.561, "architecture_confidence": 55.785, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.16, "rotation_up": 14.57, "upward_expansion": 25.35, "deceleration": 50.57, "rotation_down": 65.6, "downward_expansion": 52.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 389.533333, 436.496364, 520.33, 496.885376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 421.4, "trend_reference": 452.883333, "distance_from_trend": -0.069518, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 231.981988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.81652, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.033136, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.369961, "excess_performance": 0.318726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069518, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.168671, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.81652, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.551117, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.110331, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.804787, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.369961, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.730475, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15337541, "relative_activity": 1.129944, "balance": 1.730475, "dry_up": 1.080974, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.3025, "annualized_volatility": 1.088839, "from_high_reference": -0.51702, "from_low_reference": 3.297807 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 452.883333, "fair_value_reference": 231.981988, "structural_low": 279.600006, "invalidation": "A 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575.494286, 510.141505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 460.8, "volume": 7792158, "typical_volume": 12516795.1, "trend": 432.583333, "fair_value": 231.565321, "relative_strength": 32.931636, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.883709, "energy": 21.216666, "activity_lines": [ 511.04, 589.992727, 571.588095, 512.367097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 367.6, "volume": 17229281, "typical_volume": 13057264.65, "trend": 437.456667, "fair_value": 231.165321, "relative_strength": 3.594054, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.31778, "energy": 28.763135, "activity_lines": [ 454.606667, 539.32, 558.030476, 508.174624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 384.0, "volume": 11909532, "typical_volume": 13167150.95, "trend": 442.756667, "fair_value": 231.384552, "relative_strength": 5.349873, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.720275, "energy": 34.930746, "activity_lines": [ 418.533333, 497.981818, 545.712857, 504.725806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 347.0, "volume": 14215030, "typical_volume": 13392236.15, "trend": 447.17, "fair_value": 231.385834, "relative_strength": -6.959132, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.603677, "energy": 50.103092, "activity_lines": [ 388.16, 456.289091, 529.590476, 498.547957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 421.4, "volume": 15337541, "typical_volume": 13573721.25, "trend": 452.883333, "fair_value": 231.981988, "relative_strength": 11.033136, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.210478, "energy": 50.419318, "activity_lines": [ 389.533333, 436.496364, 520.33, 496.885376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }