{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0342114-edf6-4325-a733-d245efbd7ca3", "symbol": "TIG", "name": "Team Internet Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 68.367, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 9.78, "architecture_energy": 10.836, "architecture_maturity": 44.511, "architecture_confidence": 54.952, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.96, "rotation_up": 24.17, "upward_expansion": 33.6, "deceleration": 67.05, "rotation_down": 34.86, "downward_expansion": 19.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.424, 0.431273, 0.411933, 0.408346 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.41, "trend_reference": 0.41735, "distance_from_trend": -0.017611, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.927684, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.558039, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.239251, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.173387, "excess_performance": -0.224622, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.017611, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036032, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.558039, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060307, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.192393, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135888, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.173387, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.887234, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1233881, "relative_activity": 0.564927, "balance": 0.887234, "dry_up": 0.76549, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088724, "annualized_volatility": 0.384525, "from_high_reference": -0.369231, "from_low_reference": 0.322581 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.41735, "fair_value_reference": 0.927684, "structural_low": 0.31, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.013228, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.0151, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.089431, "worst_return": -0.12324, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.122564, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.106338, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.128926, "worst_return": -0.279614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.058201, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.122766, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.031723, "worst_return": -0.43139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.04464, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.062933, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.091549, "worst_return": -0.636508, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.301336, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.089519, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.293731, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.48609, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.238363, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.068132, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.058201, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012397, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.122984, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.012658, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.058427, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.106383, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.246577, "volume": 5812194, "typical_volume": 4976867.15, "trend": 1.221897, "fair_value": 1.104742, "relative_strength": 4.066449, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 0.47, "volume": 297484, "typical_volume": 2093227.3, "trend": 0.425433, "fair_value": 0.949214, "relative_strength": -8.433225, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.11967, "energy": 64.907131, "activity_lines": [ 0.450933, 0.425127, 0.399514, 0.407828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.45, "volume": 693886, "typical_volume": 2071748.9, "trend": 0.424233, "fair_value": 0.944108, "relative_strength": -12.093237, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.11422, "energy": 60.724673, "activity_lines": [ 0.455533, 0.432691, 0.404905, 0.409413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.42, "volume": 4016335, "typical_volume": 2205381.9, "trend": 0.422483, "fair_value": 0.938772, "relative_strength": -18.038767, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.622779, "energy": 46.438774, "activity_lines": [ 0.446467, 0.433491, 0.407557, 0.40914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.42, "volume": 743658, "typical_volume": 2202567.9, "trend": 0.419817, "fair_value": 0.93331, "relative_strength": -18.070536, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.328118, "energy": 25.177321, "activity_lines": [ 0.436067, 0.433745, 0.410281, 0.40898 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.41, "volume": 1233881, "typical_volume": 2184143.1, "trend": 0.41735, "fair_value": 0.927684, "relative_strength": -19.239251, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.779641, "energy": 10.835878, "activity_lines": [ 0.424, 0.431273, 0.411933, 0.408346 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }