{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0413147-e9c3-4aa3-a202-4c366547a700", "symbol": "002833", "name": "Guangzhou KDT Machinery Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.067, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.62, "architecture_energy": 28.439, "architecture_maturity": 6.412, "architecture_confidence": 47.744, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.73, "rotation_up": 26.97, "upward_expansion": 16.19, "deceleration": 45.59, "rotation_down": 50.2, "downward_expansion": 48.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.267333, 17.406545, 17.988609, 18.057606 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 18.1, "trend_reference": 18.007369, "distance_from_trend": 0.005144, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.404733, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.10334, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.426665, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.008893, "excess_performance": 0.001493, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005144, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035572, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.10334, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167657, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.024267, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014589, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.008893, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.060124, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23802412, "relative_activity": 0.855449, "balance": 1.060124, "dry_up": 1.117345, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077838, "annualized_volatility": 0.364682, "from_high_reference": -0.170755, "from_low_reference": 0.219765 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.007369, "fair_value_reference": 16.404733, "structural_low": 15.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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27498686.95, "trend": 17.850718, "fair_value": 16.368588, "relative_strength": -5.421652, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.878895, "energy": 52.058024, "activity_lines": [ 16.769333, 17.338017, 18.030073, 18.052034 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.77, "volume": 40640149, "typical_volume": 27563848.7, "trend": 17.932913, "fair_value": 16.384397, "relative_strength": 5.754137, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.897069, "energy": 49.17477, "activity_lines": [ 16.956, 17.326545, 17.993198, 18.046826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.1, "volume": 23802412, "typical_volume": 27824464.6, "trend": 18.007369, "fair_value": 16.404733, "relative_strength": 2.426665, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.620114, "energy": 28.438893, "activity_lines": [ 17.267333, 17.406545, 17.988609, 18.057606 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }