{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b044476f-a817-4e7b-b3fa-bc203092a166", "symbol": "ST5", "name": "STEICO SE", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.801, "architecture_energy": 63.506, "architecture_maturity": 33.313, "architecture_confidence": 92.494, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.56, "rotation_up": 23.93, "upward_expansion": 13.56, "deceleration": 43.0, "rotation_down": 53.21, "downward_expansion": 84.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.721333, 18.862149, 19.434615, 20.069179 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.68, "trend_reference": 20.99083, "distance_from_trend": -0.110088, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.399748, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.234418, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.822168, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.266012, "excess_performance": -0.330652, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110088, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027935, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.234418, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008722, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.198222, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085551, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.266012, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.049416, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26728, "relative_activity": 0.942109, "balance": 1.049416, "dry_up": 1.128791, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041281, "annualized_volatility": 0.332807, "from_high_reference": -0.32196, "from_low_reference": 0.00973 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.99083, "fair_value_reference": 24.399748, "structural_low": 18.5, 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"typical_volume": 36100.25, "trend": 21.20883, "fair_value": 24.668063, "relative_strength": -14.588999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.525694, "energy": 62.866964, "activity_lines": [ 19.085333, 19.310357, 19.900447, 20.555791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.6, "volume": 32082, "typical_volume": 31304.3, "trend": 21.137163, "fair_value": 24.581565, "relative_strength": -17.238504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.58377, "energy": 56.37065, "activity_lines": [ 18.948, 19.1116, 19.728947, 20.38748 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.58, "volume": 30413, "typical_volume": 29124.9, "trend": 21.056497, "fair_value": 24.480018, "relative_strength": -18.645034, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.044227, "energy": 63.971028, "activity_lines": [ 18.812, 18.954204, 19.569591, 20.222501 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.68, "volume": 26728, "typical_volume": 28370.4, "trend": 20.99083, "fair_value": 24.399748, "relative_strength": -19.822168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.800551, "energy": 63.505815, "activity_lines": [ 18.721333, 18.862149, 19.434615, 20.069179 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }