{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b04541a3-4cc0-4b6b-959f-95af8e9646fb", "symbol": "BGDE", "name": "Big Digital Energy, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.325, "architecture_energy": 18.528, "architecture_maturity": 24.841, "architecture_confidence": 71.637, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.23, "rotation_up": 15.97, "upward_expansion": 40.93, "deceleration": 85.99, "rotation_down": 43.36, "downward_expansion": 34.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.726667, 6.566364, 6.6752, 6.028026 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.8, "trend_reference": 5.260867, "distance_from_trend": 0.10248, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.634461, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.671099, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -34.138817, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.647727, "excess_performance": 0.460274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10248, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014971, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.671099, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029058, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.341388, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055105, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.647727, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.543972, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 158031, "relative_activity": 0.078603, "balance": 0.543972, "dry_up": 0.17586, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.36654, "annualized_volatility": 1.901103, "from_high_reference": -0.855, "from_low_reference": 2.421829 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.260867, "fair_value_reference": 17.634461, "structural_low": 1.695, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.090909, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.057222, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.356645, "worst_return": -0.260606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.396948, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.38394, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.020979, "worst_return": -0.788559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.55703, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.633893, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.356364, "worst_return": -0.611888, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.500917, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.813695, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.374126, "worst_return": -0.727762, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.239188, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.520421, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.183318, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.184834, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 1.111126, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.812044, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.2925, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.053333, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 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7.255333, 7.526545, 6.766524, 5.957161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.39, "volume": 425122, "typical_volume": 2015934.25, "trend": 5.186867, "fair_value": 17.903243, "relative_strength": -36.702605, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.317598, "energy": 18.126137, "activity_lines": [ 6.383333, 7.166182, 6.733495, 5.972181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.47, "volume": 269469, "typical_volume": 2013926.7, "trend": 5.217533, "fair_value": 17.739589, "relative_strength": -35.401064, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.0068, "energy": 19.18948, "activity_lines": [ 5.89, 6.832364, 6.695657, 5.990447 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.8, "volume": 158031, "typical_volume": 2010501.2, "trend": 5.260867, "fair_value": 17.634461, "relative_strength": -34.138817, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.324897, "energy": 18.528409, "activity_lines": [ 5.726667, 6.566364, 6.6752, 6.028026 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }