{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b05b636b-4878-4d7f-9fda-471cac4131e4",
    "symbol": "IZAFE-B",
    "name": "iZafe Group AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -55.438,
    "architecture_energy": 53.861,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.746,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.788,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.66,
        "rotation_up": 11.95,
        "upward_expansion": 11.18,
        "deceleration": 38.89,
        "rotation_down": 62.7,
        "downward_expansion": 84.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.339467,
        0.356036,
        0.369938,
        0.379568
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.342,
    "trend_reference": 0.395067,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.134323,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.317135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.078406,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -33.232737,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.22973,
    "excess_performance": -0.291224,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.134323,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137974,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078406,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099398,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.332327,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097975,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.22973,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.997622,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1021669,
      "relative_activity": 0.432126,
      "balance": 0.997622,
      "dry_up": 0.989971,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.170265,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.668111,
      "from_high_reference": -0.5725,
      "from_low_reference": 0.266667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.395067,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.317135,
      "structural_low": 0.27,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": -0.0309,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02815,
        "regime_survival": 0.868421,
        "best_return": 0.392208,
        "worst_return": -0.426009,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.153846,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
        "median_excess_return": -0.074814,
        "regime_survival": 0.846154,
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        "worst_return": -0.445946,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.270417,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.619062,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.169536,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.814066,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1610549,
        "typical_volume": 2541712.65,
        "trend": 0.407767,
        "fair_value": 0.314862,
        "relative_strength": -23.800382,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 30.648831,
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          0.378,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.302,
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        "typical_volume": 2596593.8,
        "trend": 0.402333,
        "fair_value": 0.315516,
        "relative_strength": -39.327897,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.674921,
        "energy": 55.777795,
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          0.351667,
          0.370582,
          0.378262,
          0.387417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.337,
        "volume": 2818392,
        "typical_volume": 2571007.1,
        "trend": 0.398333,
        "fair_value": 0.316442,
        "relative_strength": -33.161859,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.483771,
        "energy": 55.706801,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.344333,
          0.362327,
          0.373648,
          0.383202
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.342,
        "volume": 1021669,
        "typical_volume": 2364284.9,
        "trend": 0.395067,
        "fair_value": 0.317135,
        "relative_strength": -33.232737,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.437781,
        "energy": 53.860896,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.339467,
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          0.369938,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}