{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b06048fd-c640-4d3f-b067-fa83446836d3",
    "symbol": "ISOFOL",
    "name": "Isofol Medical AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.74,
    "architecture_energy": 37.936,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.332,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.907,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.13,
        "rotation_up": 54.34,
        "upward_expansion": 78.03,
        "deceleration": 56.03,
        "rotation_down": 20.54,
        "downward_expansion": 7.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.793,
        0.773927,
        0.745852,
        0.725997
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.82,
    "trend_reference": 0.702867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.166651,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.223657,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.329878,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.142297,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.367807,
    "excess_performance": 0.306312,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166651,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016683,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.329878,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094599,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001423,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.214264,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.367807,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.311614,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1022234,
      "relative_activity": 0.390159,
      "balance": 2.311614,
      "dry_up": 0.85322,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.104128,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.512648,
      "from_high_reference": -0.171717,
      "from_low_reference": 0.486854
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.702867,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.223657,
      "structural_low": 0.5515,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.185965,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.204431,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.491054,
        "worst_return": -0.338498,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.315861,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.307632,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.192843,
        "worst_return": -0.43038,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.06163,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.211663,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.288162,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.814937,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.856219,
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        "best_return": 2.555858,
        "worst_return": -0.951947,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2938557.6,
        "trend": 0.696733,
        "fair_value": 1.220933,
        "relative_strength": -8.451767,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.409698,
        "energy": 58.759748,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.766,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 2359271,
        "typical_volume": 2740837.65,
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        "fair_value": 1.221157,
        "relative_strength": -12.28979,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.203519,
        "energy": 48.249331,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.750133,
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          0.722352,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.849,
        "volume": 4125620,
        "typical_volume": 2750280.85,
        "trend": 0.69945,
        "fair_value": 1.222574,
        "relative_strength": 5.077058,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.95564,
        "energy": 52.727837,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.781133,
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          0.735886,
          0.718219
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.82,
        "volume": 1022234,
        "typical_volume": 2620044.2,
        "trend": 0.702867,
        "fair_value": 1.223657,
        "relative_strength": 0.142297,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.739695,
        "energy": 37.935883,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.793,
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          0.745852,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}