{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0b4eaee-d5e0-4947-acc8-cbb6ab7bf291", "symbol": "301260", "name": "Greenworks (Jiangsu) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.776, "architecture_energy": 65.042, "architecture_maturity": 21.077, "architecture_confidence": 86.481, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.72, "rotation_up": 11.69, "upward_expansion": 13.84, "deceleration": 39.32, "rotation_down": 65.59, "downward_expansion": 84.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.080667, 13.558727, 14.564286, 15.001355 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.83, "trend_reference": 15.6, "distance_from_trend": -0.113462, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.101026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.141049, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.941894, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.144712, "excess_performance": -0.152112, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113462, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057212, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.141049, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192297, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.229419, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006515, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.144712, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.925493, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15570449, "relative_activity": 1.025184, "balance": 0.925493, "dry_up": 0.869542, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110907, "annualized_volatility": 0.484894, "from_high_reference": -0.467257, "from_low_reference": 0.170051 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.6, "fair_value_reference": 16.101026, "structural_low": 11.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.002628, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.034231, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.548507, "worst_return": -0.163648, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.104432, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.095082, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.574627, "worst_return": -0.026316, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.269263, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.054249, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.457463, "worst_return": -0.036483, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 14804163, "typical_volume": 15281621.4, "trend": 15.961667, "fair_value": 16.312949, "relative_strength": -29.718651, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.336958, "energy": 74.3366, "activity_lines": [ 13.758, 14.51, 15.23881, 15.555828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.14, "volume": 12895271, "typical_volume": 15190952.45, "trend": 15.825333, "fair_value": 16.22782, "relative_strength": -31.635714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.244102, "energy": 73.431376, "activity_lines": [ 13.101333, 13.954182, 14.917048, 15.309269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.93, "volume": 9556376, "typical_volume": 15026292.6, "trend": 15.707333, "fair_value": 16.158718, "relative_strength": -25.090162, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.754749, "energy": 74.801849, "activity_lines": [ 12.926, 13.634727, 14.690238, 15.122473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.83, "volume": 15570449, "typical_volume": 15187957.2, "trend": 15.6, "fair_value": 16.101026, "relative_strength": -22.941894, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.775672, "energy": 65.041985, "activity_lines": [ 13.080667, 13.558727, 14.564286, 15.001355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }