{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0bd3f8f-8983-49ae-a2e2-2eb815e24794", "symbol": "300997", "name": "HUANLEJIA Food Group CO.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.862, "architecture_energy": 26.978, "architecture_maturity": 94.13, "architecture_confidence": 94.4, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.37, "rotation_up": 29.96, "upward_expansion": 18.16, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 36.18, "downward_expansion": 68.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.249333, 15.734727, 16.665983, 17.705318 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.34, "trend_reference": 19.576427, "distance_from_trend": -0.114241, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.613323, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.11059, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.910405, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.258483, "excess_performance": -0.265883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.114241, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12073, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.11059, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197252, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.159104, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008427, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.258483, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.719262, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 105298624, "relative_activity": 2.77341, "balance": 0.719262, "dry_up": 1.910935, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116405, "annualized_volatility": 0.565664, "from_high_reference": -0.493358, "from_low_reference": 0.298876 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.576427, "fair_value_reference": 15.613323, "structural_low": 13.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.038103, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.013893, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.118803, "worst_return": -0.125881, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.026097, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04263, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.169062, "worst_return": -0.310171, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.203412, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.159625, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.235782, "worst_return": 0.171041, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 20.174788, "fair_value": 15.556304, "relative_strength": -31.26483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.875826, "energy": 76.149859, "activity_lines": [ 14.215333, 15.053091, 16.657888, 17.992169 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.25, "volume": 105158749, "typical_volume": 34147972.35, "trend": 19.861403, "fair_value": 15.589061, "relative_strength": -6.998557, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.865763, "energy": 43.953073, "activity_lines": [ 15.484667, 15.484727, 16.69955, 17.867989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.34, "volume": 105298624, "typical_volume": 37967200.0, "trend": 19.576427, "fair_value": 15.613323, "relative_strength": -15.910405, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.861834, "energy": 26.977501, "activity_lines": [ 16.249333, 15.734727, 16.665983, 17.705318 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }