{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0dd9d53-3f4f-4bbf-adab-eaf5532cf495", "symbol": "OSIAHYPER", "name": "Osia Hyper Retail Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.75, "architecture_energy": 73.267, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.94, "rotation_up": 29.75, "upward_expansion": 13.51, "deceleration": 46.68, "rotation_down": 63.38, "downward_expansion": 91.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.909333, 3.049818, 3.531524, 4.369677 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.77, "trend_reference": 6.254, "distance_from_trend": -0.557083, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.304615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.898552, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -76.318295, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.799566, "excess_performance": -0.755857, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.557083, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.43161, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.898552, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076313, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.763183, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118033, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.799566, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.049476, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3610272, "relative_activity": 0.705324, "balance": 0.049476, "dry_up": 0.397822, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.161622, "annualized_volatility": 0.918604, "from_high_reference": -0.916264, "from_low_reference": 0.037453 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.254, "fair_value_reference": 27.304615, "structural_low": 2.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.014134, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.036897, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 1.061069, "worst_return": -0.526072, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.209768, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.256982, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.180256, "worst_return": -0.56051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.152627, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.098021, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.782222, "worst_return": -0.799566, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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7200705.35, "trend": 7.893667, "fair_value": 28.223718, "relative_strength": -73.908373, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.712814, "energy": 67.316732, "activity_lines": [ 3.28, 3.447091, 4.078095, 5.490882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.02, "volume": 1523364, "typical_volume": 6416824.95, "trend": 7.45, "fair_value": 28.026731, "relative_strength": -75.183523, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.009236, "energy": 68.625506, "activity_lines": [ 3.194, 3.313818, 3.914714, 5.176452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.99, "volume": 1371384, "typical_volume": 6237030.85, "trend": 7.064, "fair_value": 27.788846, "relative_strength": -74.401123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.681881, "energy": 68.482799, "activity_lines": [ 3.102667, 3.216909, 3.77519, 4.88871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.89, "volume": 1640147, "typical_volume": 5688977.35, "trend": 6.641, "fair_value": 27.54391, "relative_strength": -75.478661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.185913, "energy": 69.51373, "activity_lines": [ 3.012, 3.133636, 3.650762, 4.619419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.77, "volume": 3610272, "typical_volume": 5118603.9, "trend": 6.254, "fair_value": 27.304615, "relative_strength": -76.318295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.750062, "energy": 73.266924, "activity_lines": [ 2.909333, 3.049818, 3.531524, 4.369677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }