{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b0dff67e-89f0-426f-b422-a1b68d43c51f",
    "symbol": "SAIL",
    "name": "Steel Authority of India Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 3.194,
    "architecture_energy": 14.779,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.712,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.485,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.17,
        "rotation_up": 20.8,
        "upward_expansion": 43.92,
        "deceleration": 76.23,
        "rotation_down": 40.12,
        "downward_expansion": 37.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        169.159999,
        170.165453,
        176.330666,
        173.824387
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 176.580002,
    "trend_reference": 169.149334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04393,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 131.211532,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.345766,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 15.254712,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.10005,
    "excess_performance": 0.143759,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04393,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077647,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.345766,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.15385,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152547,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.203426,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10005,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.34032,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 84873717,
      "relative_activity": 0.968088,
      "balance": 3.34032,
      "dry_up": 0.851699,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071831,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.290675,
      "from_high_reference": -0.15794,
      "from_low_reference": 0.513913
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 169.149334,
      "fair_value_reference": 131.211532,
      "structural_low": 142.259995,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.030558,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034021,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.113507,
        "worst_return": 0.021723,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.197823,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.157697,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.517026,
        "worst_return": -0.12138,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.312692,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.277841,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.794921,
        "worst_return": -0.169538,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.362823,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.119694,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.362823,
        "worst_return": 0.362823,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.389294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.167846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.08695,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.121549,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110486,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.139069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006716,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.156937,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041173,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.133474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.049623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2026-07-31",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044667,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 86972565.3,
        "trend": 167.400334,
        "fair_value": 130.14388,
        "relative_strength": 10.432802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.283627,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 169.029999,
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        "typical_volume": 88624411.7,
        "trend": 168.119,
        "fair_value": 130.644516,
        "relative_strength": 11.959976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.65337,
        "energy": 35.128564,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 176.580002,
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        "typical_volume": 87671457.95,
        "trend": 169.149334,
        "fair_value": 131.211532,
        "relative_strength": 15.254712,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.194154,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}