{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0ebffeb-5adc-4a05-99dd-424961cb07c0", "symbol": "300835", "name": "Sinomag Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.462, "architecture_energy": 25.346, "architecture_maturity": 79.084, "architecture_confidence": 94.832, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.25, "rotation_up": 16.29, "upward_expansion": 51.91, "deceleration": 93.99, "rotation_down": 44.74, "downward_expansion": 22.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 139.061333, 159.447273, 156.941148, 141.439507 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 147.919998, "trend_reference": 120.647168, "distance_from_trend": 0.226054, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 52.037022, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.842592, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 53.538689, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.842568, "excess_performance": 0.835169, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.226054, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.456527, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.842592, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02304, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.535387, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051049, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.842568, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.410568, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22358764, "relative_activity": 1.086487, "balance": 1.410568, "dry_up": 1.144847, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.258123, "annualized_volatility": 0.924811, "from_high_reference": -0.43542, "from_low_reference": 1.837788 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 120.647168, "fair_value_reference": 52.037022, "structural_low": 69.77635, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.005687, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004877, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.300057, "worst_return": -0.196313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.065267, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.051469, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.928747, "worst_return": -0.25826, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.252352, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.278753, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.862023, "worst_return": -0.267271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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157.03881, 137.613538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 134.729996, "volume": 27956422, "typical_volume": 20698112.1, "trend": 115.989317, "fair_value": 50.683007, "relative_strength": 49.241148, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.634809, "energy": 27.591121, "activity_lines": [ 157.174667, 174.856364, 157.12943, 138.976169 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 124.150002, "volume": 20828937, "typical_volume": 20450231.05, "trend": 117.898947, "fair_value": 51.273944, "relative_strength": 37.865362, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.015856, "energy": 24.791749, "activity_lines": [ 140.216001, 164.830183, 155.998734, 139.502665 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 147.919998, "volume": 22358764, "typical_volume": 20578961.6, "trend": 120.647168, "fair_value": 52.037022, "relative_strength": 53.538689, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.461786, "energy": 25.34634, "activity_lines": [ 139.061333, 159.447273, 156.941148, 141.439507 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }