{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0ef614e-6f13-4ac5-ae3f-b24b6f351712", "symbol": "OBIL", "name": "F/M US TREASURY 12 MONTH BILL ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.87, "architecture_energy": 82.724, "architecture_maturity": 4.411, "architecture_confidence": 61.662, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.76, "rotation_up": 77.32, "upward_expansion": 90.85, "deceleration": 45.11, "rotation_down": 10.35, "downward_expansion": 17.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.976093, 49.934827, 49.900726, 49.862903 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 50.055, "trend_reference": 49.799162, "distance_from_trend": 0.005137, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.505945, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053658, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.763166, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.008269, "excess_performance": -0.179185, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005137, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003878, "read": "Rising" 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"direction": 57.007171, "energy": 41.104996, "activity_lines": [ 49.873009, 49.86979, 49.845547, 49.798682 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 49.8604, "volume": 170644, "typical_volume": 213866.05, "trend": 49.731406, "fair_value": 47.355499, "relative_strength": -13.655264, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.394434, "energy": 26.46007, "activity_lines": [ 49.864046, 49.871048, 49.850163, 49.808057 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.930169, "volume": 218752, "typical_volume": 212798.4, "trend": 49.748903, "fair_value": 47.393322, "relative_strength": -9.456585, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.079428, "energy": 29.667137, "activity_lines": [ 49.88033, 49.883387, 49.860583, 49.820881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.915219, "volume": 322710, "typical_volume": 213071.75, "trend": 49.764428, "fair_value": 47.430822, "relative_strength": -7.725262, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.864837, "energy": 37.097811, "activity_lines": [ 49.892958, 49.890679, 49.86862, 49.831611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.975, "volume": 252474, "typical_volume": 209720.75, "trend": 49.780544, "fair_value": 47.468298, "relative_strength": -7.772361, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.649286, "energy": 58.742861, "activity_lines": [ 49.926508, 49.906781, 49.881462, 49.845196 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.055, "volume": 162870, "typical_volume": 202544.9, "trend": 49.799162, "fair_value": 47.505945, "relative_strength": -11.763166, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.869633, "energy": 82.723849, "activity_lines": [ 49.976093, 49.934827, 49.900726, 49.862903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }