{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b0fb4eef-c17e-4e64-80c3-4d57bbc52b38", "symbol": "LAR", "name": "Lithium Argentina AG", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 59.124, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -29.066, "architecture_energy": 62.341, "architecture_maturity": 15.553, "architecture_confidence": 73.528, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.01, "rotation_up": 14.35, "upward_expansion": 28.89, "deceleration": 49.15, "rotation_down": 72.61, "downward_expansion": 58.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.984, 9.860909, 11.154857, 11.121677 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.66, "trend_reference": 10.97, "distance_from_trend": -0.119417, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.543977, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.476167, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.343049, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.047722, "excess_performance": -0.072699, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.119417, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110286, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.476167, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.981399, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02343, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.15631, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.047722, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.705622, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 708300, "relative_activity": 0.683592, "balance": 0.705622, "dry_up": 1.078807, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.168578, "annualized_volatility": 0.855372, "from_high_reference": -0.413123, "from_low_reference": 1.34466 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.97, "fair_value_reference": 6.543977, "structural_low": 7.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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"2024-11-01", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.128458, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.188636, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.132231, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.158385, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.045249, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 1.159551, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.618643, "energy": 16.823551, "activity_lines": [ 11.371333, 12.106182, 12.203381, 11.674495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.94, "volume": 898900, "typical_volume": 1062940.0, "trend": 10.949333, "fair_value": 6.572391, "relative_strength": -4.724159, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.15932, "energy": 38.923317, "activity_lines": [ 10.398, 11.404182, 11.94381, 11.548065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.27, "volume": 978100, "typical_volume": 1013340.0, "trend": 10.967333, "fair_value": 6.558901, "relative_strength": -12.588225, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.725368, "energy": 62.139227, "activity_lines": [ 9.504, 10.708727, 11.630333, 11.375204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.35, "volume": 1885900, "typical_volume": 1061935.0, "trend": 10.972333, "fair_value": 6.545563, "relative_strength": -12.031512, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.767064, "energy": 66.832892, "activity_lines": [ 8.936, 10.126, 11.328095, 11.206344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.66, "volume": 708300, "typical_volume": 1036145.0, "trend": 10.97, "fair_value": 6.543977, "relative_strength": -2.343049, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.06644, "energy": 62.341275, "activity_lines": [ 8.984, 9.860909, 11.154857, 11.121677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }