{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b11cddfe-88c7-44f8-8911-3d673311249a", "symbol": "NMM", "name": "Navios Maritime Partners LP Unit", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.99, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.581, "architecture_energy": 62.222, "architecture_maturity": 15.775, "architecture_confidence": 87.535, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.93, "rotation_up": 69.5, "upward_expansion": 88.33, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 12.27, "downward_expansion": 12.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 78.372, 75.967273, 74.085169, 72.221667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 79.35, "trend_reference": 69.16927, "distance_from_trend": 0.147186, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.605231, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.702599, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.364243, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.319815, "excess_performance": 0.19419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.147186, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119982, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.702599, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069766, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.173642, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109412, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.319815, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.542374, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 464068, "relative_activity": 0.741163, "balance": 1.542374, "dry_up": 0.877705, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074708, "annualized_volatility": 0.408341, "from_high_reference": -0.042129, "from_low_reference": 0.860139 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.16927, "fair_value_reference": 46.605231, "structural_low": 58.252252, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.028451, "positive_rate": 0.576923, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": 0.00721, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.272965, "worst_return": -0.169161, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.092603, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.041361, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.738272, "worst_return": -0.180821, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.128754, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.115002, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.026047, "worst_return": -0.203927, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 80.76, "volume": 627120, "typical_volume": 646177.1, "trend": 68.373591, "fair_value": 46.246157, "relative_strength": 24.536519, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.540417, "energy": 62.357543, "activity_lines": [ 77.218667, 74.900364, 73.364242, 71.513512 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.35, "volume": 464068, "typical_volume": 626134.5, "trend": 69.16927, "fair_value": 46.605231, "relative_strength": 17.364243, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.580527, "energy": 62.222052, "activity_lines": [ 78.372, 75.967273, 74.085169, 72.221667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }