{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b12364bc-d188-45ff-a16b-49bb9f18ef4e", "symbol": "4260", "name": "United International Transportation Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.423, "architecture_energy": 90.866, "architecture_maturity": 86.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.354, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 17.67, "upward_expansion": 21.47, "deceleration": 37.23, "rotation_down": 76.69, "downward_expansion": 99.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.398667, 29.736798, 32.014633, 34.367679 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 27.66, "trend_reference": 37.546494, "distance_from_trend": -0.263313, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 52.722397, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.475365, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.559136, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.384307, "excess_performance": -0.352478, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.263313, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139486, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.475365, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128833, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.355591, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079193, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.384307, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.060584, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8037195, "relative_activity": 3.121489, "balance": 0.060584, "dry_up": 1.524523, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064899, "annualized_volatility": 0.326523, "from_high_reference": -0.532869, "from_low_reference": 0.03518 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.546494, "fair_value_reference": 52.722397, "structural_low": 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38.784077, "fair_value": 53.01898, "relative_strength": -34.086823, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.925267, "energy": 87.504741, "activity_lines": [ 29.882667, 31.193612, 33.513393, 35.753878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.799999, "volume": 2773336, "typical_volume": 2219232.8, "trend": 38.161994, "fair_value": 52.874348, "relative_strength": -34.477332, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.827589, "energy": 88.30542, "activity_lines": [ 29.045333, 30.437896, 32.739489, 35.045227 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.66, "volume": 8037195, "typical_volume": 2574795.0, "trend": 37.546494, "fair_value": 52.722397, "relative_strength": -35.559136, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.423169, "energy": 90.866391, "activity_lines": [ 28.398667, 29.736798, 32.014633, 34.367679 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }