{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1362ec3-896d-4303-8527-187125c763d8", "symbol": "300246", "name": "Guangdong Biolight Meditech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.161, "architecture_energy": 39.674, "architecture_maturity": 34.792, "architecture_confidence": 76.342, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.91, "rotation_up": 60.0, "upward_expansion": 70.61, "deceleration": 49.61, "rotation_down": 17.61, "downward_expansion": 18.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.998, 17.01, 17.064047, 16.535849 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 19.26, "trend_reference": 15.596333, "distance_from_trend": 0.234906, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.54585, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.017631, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 49.539552, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.53222, "excess_performance": 0.52482, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.234906, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.21297, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.017631, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042514, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.495396, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003896, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.53222, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.710936, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.710936, "dry_up": 1.063596, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135794, "annualized_volatility": 0.713797, "from_high_reference": -0.123749, "from_low_reference": 1.511082 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.596333, "fair_value_reference": 9.54585, "structural_low": 12.16, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.038005, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.066705, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.035336, "worst_return": -0.231701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.312107, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.276254, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.732573, "worst_return": -0.108359, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.544834, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.471941, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.544834, "worst_return": 0.544834, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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16.524476, 15.785892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.59, "volume": 75149274, "typical_volume": 66237340.15, "trend": 14.545, "fair_value": 9.418295, "relative_strength": 22.195341, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.924863, "energy": 19.332589, "activity_lines": [ 15.046, 15.872545, 16.388905, 15.803204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.459999, "volume": 95201234, "typical_volume": 68775785.4, "trend": 14.854667, "fair_value": 9.455076, "relative_strength": 44.108763, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.405127, "energy": 14.80168, "activity_lines": [ 15.667333, 16.004909, 16.521, 15.991269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.26, "volume": 77515299, "typical_volume": 65882193.05, "trend": 15.224333, "fair_value": 9.500463, "relative_strength": 59.241576, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.942571, "energy": 23.118601, "activity_lines": [ 16.990666, 16.493454, 16.803047, 16.275484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.26, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 58261290.55, "trend": 15.596333, "fair_value": 9.54585, "relative_strength": 49.539552, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.161246, "energy": 39.674179, "activity_lines": [ 17.998, 17.01, 17.064047, 16.535849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }