{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b15448a7-2cf3-4ff3-a656-92645d8c783e", "symbol": "ALINS", "name": "Intrasense S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.39, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.116, "architecture_energy": 28.196, "architecture_maturity": 32.705, "architecture_confidence": 65.409, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.11, "rotation_up": 10.55, "upward_expansion": 9.99, "deceleration": 56.06, "rotation_down": 61.32, "downward_expansion": 68.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.222133, 0.227964, 0.228719, 0.227361 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.216, "trend_reference": 0.229133, "distance_from_trend": -0.057317, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.292708, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.262064, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.432351, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.181818, "excess_performance": -0.23513, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057317, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025656, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.262064, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003538, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.184324, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039029, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.181818, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.840858, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111512, "relative_activity": 0.635804, "balance": 2.840858, "dry_up": 0.367007, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100427, "annualized_volatility": 0.374855, "from_high_reference": -0.497674, "from_low_reference": 0.136842 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.229133, "fair_value_reference": 0.292708, "structural_low": 0.19, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.024171, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.009124, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.117381, "worst_return": -0.219697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.097264, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.081492, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.09058, "worst_return": -0.339703, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.144297, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.114572, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.10388, "worst_return": -0.344316, "sufficient": true 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false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.179331, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.020067, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.190476, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.021739, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-02", 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.64797, "energy": 8.279135, "activity_lines": [ 0.235733, 0.235782, 0.229676, 0.229269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.22, "volume": 67998, "typical_volume": 222785.7, "trend": 0.229667, "fair_value": 0.296356, "relative_strength": -14.835305, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.967243, "energy": 6.176095, "activity_lines": [ 0.2298, 0.232873, 0.229324, 0.228598 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.224, "volume": 40818, "typical_volume": 182899.3, "trend": 0.2295, "fair_value": 0.294522, "relative_strength": -14.073633, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.076482, "energy": 9.611665, "activity_lines": [ 0.226867, 0.231018, 0.229448, 0.228232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.216, "volume": 111512, "typical_volume": 175387.45, "trend": 0.229133, "fair_value": 0.292708, "relative_strength": -18.432351, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.11616, "energy": 28.196029, "activity_lines": [ 0.222133, 0.227964, 0.228719, 0.227361 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }