{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b16c4d45-84e8-4230-95d9-8fb0c8f3cb89", "symbol": "300115", "name": "Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.036, "architecture_energy": 54.022, "architecture_maturity": 30.03, "architecture_confidence": 86.677, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.86, "rotation_up": 13.69, "upward_expansion": 9.31, "deceleration": 43.79, "rotation_down": 61.83, "downward_expansion": 80.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.039333, 28.033808, 30.290163, 31.626966 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.02, "trend_reference": 33.979049, "distance_from_trend": -0.175374, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.251505, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.318495, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.715548, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.275032, "excess_performance": -0.282432, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175374, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087353, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.318495, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.527636, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.207155, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15545, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.275032, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.723838, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 190003247, "relative_activity": 0.907309, "balance": 0.723838, "dry_up": 0.983228, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.152871, "annualized_volatility": 0.621749, "from_high_reference": -0.416128, "from_low_reference": 0.265011 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.979049, "fair_value_reference": 21.251505, "structural_low": 24.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.02996, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": 0.0416, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.16605, "worst_return": -0.206759, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.043472, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.058774, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.692121, "worst_return": -0.320428, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.199635, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.015478, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.089431, "worst_return": -0.370844, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 24.43, "volume": 176128422, "typical_volume": 206232373.55, "trend": 35.024383, "fair_value": 21.034661, "relative_strength": -28.16112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.334876, "energy": 53.069609, "activity_lines": [ 27.229369, 28.828589, 31.074606, 32.531445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.58, "volume": 233156694, "typical_volume": 207429040.1, "trend": 34.595049, "fair_value": 21.138902, "relative_strength": -17.800379, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.572052, "energy": 53.089585, "activity_lines": [ 27.094977, 28.297835, 30.644456, 32.051162 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.02, "volume": 190003247, "typical_volume": 209414141.2, "trend": 33.979049, "fair_value": 21.251505, "relative_strength": -20.715548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.035761, "energy": 54.021855, "activity_lines": [ 27.039333, 28.033808, 30.290163, 31.626966 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }