{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1730f28-69fc-4211-8079-6f93a658d0f4", "symbol": "5483", "name": "Sino-American Silicon Products Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.733, "architecture_energy": 20.199, "architecture_maturity": 71.444, "architecture_confidence": 93.332, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.38, "rotation_up": 26.84, "upward_expansion": 57.48, "deceleration": 88.31, "rotation_down": 30.84, "downward_expansion": 21.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 181.665599, 188.206197, 175.978424, 162.444632 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 188.0, "trend_reference": 146.031089, "distance_from_trend": 0.287397, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 142.407145, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320158, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.737325, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.631161, "excess_performance": 0.189789, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.287397, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.232908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.320158, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.321357, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.067373, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208632, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.631161, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.290024, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 163254297, "relative_activity": 1.372627, "balance": 2.290024, "dry_up": 1.409037, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.195904, "annualized_volatility": 0.798264, "from_high_reference": -0.320106, "from_low_reference": 0.975002 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 146.031089, "fair_value_reference": 142.407145, "structural_low": 103.383548, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.019277, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.019861, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.127717, "worst_return": -0.148883, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.043151, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.060999, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.186186, "worst_return": -0.203474, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.015555, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018767, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.548722, "worst_return": -0.312689, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 20.438372, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.533486, "energy": 69.995654, "activity_lines": [ 210.195941, 194.409208, 171.417659, 156.715836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 157.0, "volume": 183358709, "typical_volume": 108735743.5, "trend": 141.53824, "fair_value": 142.038121, "relative_strength": -5.518538, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.067296, "energy": 43.936851, "activity_lines": [ 194.847009, 189.889958, 171.823804, 157.836797 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 168.5, "volume": 160139909, "typical_volume": 112331062.8, "trend": 143.540312, "fair_value": 142.144473, "relative_strength": -0.906002, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.378661, "energy": 28.080278, "activity_lines": [ 183.681268, 187.260237, 173.079294, 159.576265 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 188.0, "volume": 163254297, "typical_volume": 118935697.1, "trend": 146.031089, "fair_value": 142.407145, "relative_strength": 6.737325, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.732578, "energy": 20.198945, "activity_lines": [ 181.665599, 188.206197, 175.978424, 162.444632 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }