{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b17fbffb-c480-40c5-9c3c-7b76387b78d1", "symbol": "300927", "name": "Nantong JiangTian Chemical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.217, "architecture_energy": 56.742, "architecture_maturity": 42.07, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.01, "rotation_up": 23.52, "upward_expansion": 9.93, "deceleration": 55.27, "rotation_down": 56.76, "downward_expansion": 83.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.023333, 21.50526, 23.528591, 25.4164 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.639999, "trend_reference": 27.510507, "distance_from_trend": -0.213391, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.150327, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023152, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.386698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.355952, "excess_performance": -0.363352, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.213391, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032979, "read": "Falling" 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18.700001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.020095, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.016224, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.368421, "worst_return": -0.130128, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.221547, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.090442, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.307366, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.094999, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.118642, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.363895, "worst_return": 0.023824, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 85.72961, "activity_lines": [ 20.912666, 21.953874, 24.413545, 26.220186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.110001, "volume": 17199348, "typical_volume": 28044572.95, "trend": 27.566173, "fair_value": 21.1214, "relative_strength": -20.915883, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.901716, "energy": 72.80277, "activity_lines": [ 20.85, 21.629063, 23.910473, 25.798734 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.639999, "volume": 14716042, "typical_volume": 24796643.05, "trend": 27.510507, "fair_value": 21.150327, "relative_strength": -22.386698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.21702, "energy": 56.741762, "activity_lines": [ 21.023333, 21.50526, 23.528591, 25.4164 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }