{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1841e10-eade-4e83-a3fc-f8706324d6ed", "symbol": "688036", "name": "Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 73.144, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.797, "architecture_energy": 21.0, "architecture_maturity": 15.529, "architecture_confidence": 59.143, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.55, "rotation_up": 42.32, "upward_expansion": 75.39, "deceleration": 61.63, "rotation_down": 23.43, "downward_expansion": 4.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.064666, 60.621454, 59.440951, 58.56833 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 57.029999, "trend_reference": 58.457119, "distance_from_trend": -0.024413, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 88.721722, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.357204, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.645643, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.004691, "excess_performance": 0.038513, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.024413, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039604, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.357204, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036715, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.136456, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126922, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.004691, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.990103, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 112073472, "relative_activity": 1.726093, "balance": 0.990103, "dry_up": 1.706302, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115848, "annualized_volatility": 0.465614, "from_high_reference": -0.448453, "from_low_reference": 0.138924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.457119, "fair_value_reference": 88.721722, "structural_low": 50.073594, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.04165, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.050467, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.125896, "worst_return": -0.213846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.216182, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.160884, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.340251, "worst_return": -0.291056, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.2478, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.223597, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.83896, "worst_return": -0.372671, "sufficient": false }, { 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89.451163, "relative_strength": -7.397397, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.764306, "energy": 41.518578, "activity_lines": [ 62.116666, 60.337999, 58.823749, 58.311288 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.470001, "volume": 99919995, "typical_volume": 61676935.25, "trend": 58.729918, "fair_value": 89.091683, "relative_strength": -0.461636, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.234947, "energy": 50.039547, "activity_lines": [ 63.086, 61.166181, 59.504039, 58.678002 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.029999, "volume": 112073472, "typical_volume": 64929004.8, "trend": 58.457119, "fair_value": 88.721722, "relative_strength": -13.645643, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.796746, "energy": 21.00019, "activity_lines": [ 61.064666, 60.621454, 59.440951, 58.56833 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }