{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b18f2b2c-ad4f-41a8-a439-badb4eed183c", "symbol": "T3MP", "name": "JPMorgan ETFs (Ireland) ICAV - Climate Change Solutions Active UCITS ETF", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.426, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.366, "architecture_energy": 29.562, "architecture_maturity": 65.376, "architecture_confidence": 87.006, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.85, "rotation_up": 33.15, "upward_expansion": 58.28, "deceleration": 88.17, "rotation_down": 27.47, "downward_expansion": 19.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.326, 46.431318, 46.315571, 45.631779 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 47.174999, "trend_reference": 44.686833, "distance_from_trend": 0.05568, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.170022, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.341341, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.074677, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.091256, "excess_performance": 0.040021, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05568, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.341341, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048116, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.040747, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086998, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091256, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.886709, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 927, "relative_activity": 0.987536, "balance": 0.886709, "dry_up": 1.13508, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020024, "annualized_volatility": 0.168364, "from_high_reference": -0.011317, "from_low_reference": 0.307874 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.686833, "fair_value_reference": 35.170022, "structural_low": 39.82, "invalidation": "A 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0.039551, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.007068, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.039551, "worst_return": 0.039551, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.036397, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.01076, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.056069, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.05219, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.039717, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.042748, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.040697, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.014682, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.024368, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010739, 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"energy": 65.999728, "activity_lines": [ 46.882166, 46.700363, 45.777261, 44.91129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.345001, "volume": 259, "typical_volume": 899.45, "trend": 43.760916, "fair_value": 34.737606, "relative_strength": 6.64491, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.368676, "energy": 54.137109, "activity_lines": [ 46.735, 46.656045, 45.917309, 45.09436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 45.775002, "volume": 2026, "typical_volume": 915.45, "trend": 43.9975, "fair_value": 34.838506, "relative_strength": 4.19052, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.942105, "energy": 37.795151, "activity_lines": [ 46.403, 46.5105, 45.995417, 45.224301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.18, "volume": 1068, "typical_volume": 922.55, "trend": 44.237, "fair_value": 34.942917, "relative_strength": 3.667994, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.624254, "energy": 31.744623, "activity_lines": [ 46.256667, 46.458227, 46.107381, 45.365107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.645, "volume": 241, "typical_volume": 916.6, "trend": 44.449583, "fair_value": 35.049356, "relative_strength": 1.123287, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.837322, "energy": 24.299387, "activity_lines": [ 46.0045, 46.304455, 46.148155, 45.455946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.174999, "volume": 927, "typical_volume": 938.7, "trend": 44.686833, "fair_value": 35.170022, "relative_strength": 4.074677, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.365542, "energy": 29.561705, "activity_lines": [ 46.326, 46.431318, 46.315571, 45.631779 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }