{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b1921557-ba85-4a8e-b987-4d552aca712c",
    "symbol": "000761",
    "name": "Bengang Steel Plates Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -49.153,
    "architecture_energy": 47.23,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.195,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.23,
        "rotation_up": 27.58,
        "upward_expansion": 20.42,
        "deceleration": 66.99,
        "rotation_down": 40.35,
        "downward_expansion": 68.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.279333,
        2.265273,
        2.408905,
        2.621978
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.29,
    "trend_reference": 2.903,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.211161,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.355705,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.31758,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -30.876171,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.365651,
    "excess_performance": -0.373051,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211161,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115209,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.31758,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.149878,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.308762,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034552,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.365651,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.482053,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 72141513,
      "relative_activity": 1.129562,
      "balance": 0.482053,
      "dry_up": 1.189379,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.085657,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.316161,
      "from_high_reference": -0.420253,
      "from_low_reference": 0.085308
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.903,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.355705,
      "structural_low": 2.11,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.016393,
        "positive_rate": 0.354839,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.645161,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000341,
        "regime_survival": 0.83871,
        "best_return": 0.3875,
        "worst_return": -0.163333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.03794,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047237,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.355769,
        "worst_return": -0.265574,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.09853,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044306,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.365385,
        "worst_return": -0.155108,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.009804,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.054177,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.067961,
        "worst_return": -0.218921,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.070312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.133995,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089385,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.35,
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        "typical_volume": 68337857.15,
        "trend": 2.938333,
        "fair_value": 3.366923,
        "relative_strength": -26.316253,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.54288,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.29,
        "volume": 72141513,
        "typical_volume": 63866830.15,
        "trend": 2.903,
        "fair_value": 3.355705,
        "relative_strength": -30.876171,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}