{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1b20057-f166-4065-8a3d-1d880d9ca52f", "symbol": "AIRS", "name": "Airsculpt Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.557, "architecture_energy": 36.877, "architecture_maturity": 58.923, "architecture_confidence": 55.753, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.0, "rotation_up": 39.15, "upward_expansion": 68.92, "deceleration": 73.23, "rotation_down": 26.96, "downward_expansion": 9.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.756667, 4.707455, 4.583762, 4.131032 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.01, "trend_reference": 3.548667, "distance_from_trend": 0.411798, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.068558, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.011553, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.048355, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.207048, "excess_performance": 1.019595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.411798, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16337, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.011553, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.267241, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020484, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.275135, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.207048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.247571, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2079444, "relative_activity": 0.422608, "balance": 2.247571, "dry_up": 0.406107, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143329, "annualized_volatility": 1.015552, "from_high_reference": -0.5825, "from_low_reference": 2.317881 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.548667, "fair_value_reference": 5.068558, "structural_low": 1.51, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.104541, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.115503, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.081614, "worst_return": -0.503903, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.486339, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.447786, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.368286, "worst_return": -0.505607, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.09335, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.127269, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.456284, "worst_return": -0.108411, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.538933, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.804739, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.487212, "worst_return": -0.590654, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.079926, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.061338, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030717, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.365421, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.772727, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.3, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.123397, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.035519, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.332237, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.427027, 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.744512, "energy": 21.574859, "activity_lines": [ 4.496667, 4.679455, 4.412619, 3.937183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.81, "volume": 1855984, "typical_volume": 9469451.25, "trend": 3.457, "fair_value": 5.085929, "relative_strength": -2.224616, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.896322, "energy": 26.087413, "activity_lines": [ 4.601333, 4.670545, 4.495714, 4.030839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.01, "volume": 2079444, "typical_volume": 4920502.45, "trend": 3.548667, "fair_value": 5.068558, "relative_strength": -2.048355, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.557049, "energy": 36.876994, "activity_lines": [ 4.756667, 4.707455, 4.583762, 4.131032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }