{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1b3317e-1932-4b39-9bf8-6587e08c4114", "symbol": "1D4", "name": "Aoxin Q & M Dental Group Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.487, "architecture_energy": 10.21, "architecture_maturity": 44.32, "architecture_confidence": 87.379, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.92, "rotation_up": 25.2, "upward_expansion": 46.91, "deceleration": 83.31, "rotation_down": 22.71, "downward_expansion": 22.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.243667, 0.245091, 0.246548, 0.23786 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.24, "trend_reference": 0.222867, "distance_from_trend": 0.076877, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.089288, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.687917, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 32.09346, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.348315, "excess_performance": 0.193479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.323437, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.687917, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.711915, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.320935, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.99936, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.348315, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.7276, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4416400, "relative_activity": 0.110781, "balance": 0.7276, "dry_up": 0.190253, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125, "annualized_volatility": 0.912776, "from_high_reference": -0.261538, "from_low_reference": 6.000146 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.222867, "fair_value_reference": 0.089288, "structural_low": 0.17, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.02, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.067395, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.243902, "worst_return": -0.310345, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.146341, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.043999, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.155172, "worst_return": -0.179167, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.936782, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.875546, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.206897, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.458333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.506405, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.458333, "worst_return": -0.458333, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018868, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.234043, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.235294, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.310345, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111142, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.65, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.177215, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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0.227888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.245, "volume": 5596300, "typical_volume": 50681555.0, "trend": 0.208867, "fair_value": 0.08591, "relative_strength": 52.117851, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.261144, "energy": 20.745614, "activity_lines": [ 0.245333, 0.255182, 0.243638, 0.230576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.235, "volume": 6414700, "typical_volume": 49792520.0, "trend": 0.2136, "fair_value": 0.086692, "relative_strength": 41.997275, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.94025, "energy": 20.02231, "activity_lines": [ 0.241, 0.250727, 0.243843, 0.232262 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.26, "volume": 11963000, "typical_volume": 46850745.0, "trend": 0.218867, "fair_value": 0.087712, "relative_strength": 51.488094, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.730225, "energy": 19.2985, "activity_lines": [ 0.247, 0.251273, 0.246152, 0.235256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.24, "volume": 7544400, "typical_volume": 43057315.0, "trend": 0.220767, "fair_value": 0.088481, "relative_strength": 36.186701, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.347792, "energy": 14.270412, "activity_lines": [ 0.245667, 0.248091, 0.246267, 0.236619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.24, "volume": 4416400, "typical_volume": 39866080.0, "trend": 0.222867, "fair_value": 0.089288, "relative_strength": 32.09346, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.486882, "energy": 10.210258, "activity_lines": [ 0.243667, 0.245091, 0.246548, 0.23786 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }