{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b1b9238c-a723-4a1e-b0ad-c722cc7c001a",
    "symbol": "DVLU",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST DORSEY WRIGHT MOMENTUM & VALUE ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.587,
    "architecture_energy": 81.342,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.891,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.872,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.08,
        "rotation_up": 78.1,
        "upward_expansion": 94.83,
        "deceleration": 43.92,
        "rotation_down": 15.94,
        "downward_expansion": 16.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.08034,
        40.523521,
        39.51553,
        38.527547
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 41.6881,
    "trend_reference": 37.518391,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.111138,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.383465,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.372065,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.811746,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.106365,
    "excess_performance": -0.081088,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111138,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045189,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.372065,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076808,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018117,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080569,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106365,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.88803,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 39074,
      "relative_activity": 1.451009,
      "balance": 1.88803,
      "dry_up": 0.932652,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024202,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.153934,
      "from_high_reference": -0.020256,
      "from_low_reference": 0.399324
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.518391,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.383465,
      "structural_low": 33.023559,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.002396,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000577,
        "regime_survival": 0.787879,
        "best_return": 0.074915,
        "worst_return": -0.098164,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.004448,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.132455,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.019924,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.054345,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "trend": 35.192448,
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        "relative_strength": -0.351905,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -5.916146,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 30517.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 29.39699,
        "relative_strength": -1.240045,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 23960.7,
        "trend": 36.274336,
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        "relative_strength": -1.830224,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 29.72252,
        "relative_strength": -0.191537,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 24870.1,
        "trend": 36.759064,
        "fair_value": 29.828545,
        "relative_strength": -1.531757,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 40.3449,
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        "typical_volume": 24924.3,
        "trend": 36.904161,
        "fair_value": 29.938112,
        "relative_strength": -1.038133,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 83.903907,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.6007,
        "volume": 19674,
        "typical_volume": 24977.35,
        "trend": 37.05548,
        "fair_value": 30.047013,
        "relative_strength": 3.745015,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.724333,
        "energy": 89.330204,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.045741,
          39.614837,
          38.509976,
          37.763809
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.8461,
        "volume": 22168,
        "typical_volume": 25126.8,
        "trend": 37.20113,
        "fair_value": 30.156233,
        "relative_strength": 5.832805,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.648785,
        "energy": 87.686935,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.404887,
          39.926496,
          38.847368,
          38.008365
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.92,
        "volume": 19545,
        "typical_volume": 25662.4,
        "trend": 37.359649,
        "fair_value": 30.267027,
        "relative_strength": 5.224408,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.429715,
        "energy": 84.560668,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.658807,
          40.182686,
          39.161974,
          38.248292
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.6881,
        "volume": 39074,
        "typical_volume": 26928.85,
        "trend": 37.518391,
        "fair_value": 30.383465,
        "relative_strength": 1.811746,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.587438,
        "energy": 81.34222,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.08034,
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          38.527547
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}