{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1c42e93-6b61-42ee-b58b-dfd31beaba07", "symbol": "LAVV3", "name": "Lavvi Empreendimentos Imobili\u00e1rios S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.459, "architecture_energy": 86.576, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.248, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.96, "rotation_up": 17.69, "upward_expansion": 19.43, "deceleration": 38.89, "rotation_down": 73.64, "downward_expansion": 95.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.149333, 10.625273, 11.245286, 12.220155 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.44, "trend_reference": 13.610772, "distance_from_trend": -0.306432, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.14131, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.032675, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.418967, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.45528, "excess_performance": -0.398231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.306432, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088925, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.032675, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.355172, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.32419, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101888, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.45528, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.534433, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4210700, "relative_activity": 1.636618, "balance": 0.534433, "dry_up": 1.056153, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092976, "annualized_volatility": 0.432359, "from_high_reference": -0.502634, "from_low_reference": 0.010707 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.610772, "fair_value_reference": 9.14131, "structural_low": 9.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.024792, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.042977, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.217391, "worst_return": -0.167549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.159035, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.207933, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.47053, "worst_return": -0.076019, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.250916, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.299049, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.26636, "worst_return": 0.235471, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052133, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045512, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.256662, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00791, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.616804, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.137035, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.34, "volume": 2973500, "typical_volume": 2926620.0, "trend": 14.248345, "fair_value": 9.032203, "relative_strength": -22.666514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.085869, "energy": 50.624324, "activity_lines": [ 11.434667, 11.359818, 12.18681, 13.204135 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.06, "volume": 2890900, "typical_volume": 2951515.0, "trend": 14.131934, "fair_value": 9.067093, "relative_strength": -22.528557, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.045943, "energy": 47.873999, "activity_lines": [ 11.339333, 11.296, 11.980667, 12.998435 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.1, "volume": 2140700, "typical_volume": 2809335.0, "trend": 13.970957, "fair_value": 9.095012, "relative_strength": -29.090732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.358448, "energy": 64.593616, "activity_lines": [ 10.926667, 11.074909, 11.718095, 12.738311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.32, "volume": 1626800, "typical_volume": 2589450.0, "trend": 13.820454, "fair_value": 9.121209, "relative_strength": -28.791366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.031941, "energy": 69.384225, "activity_lines": [ 10.630667, 10.919273, 11.511714, 12.502765 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.44, "volume": 4210700, "typical_volume": 2572805.0, "trend": 13.610772, "fair_value": 9.14131, "relative_strength": -32.418967, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.459126, "energy": 86.575782, "activity_lines": [ 10.149333, 10.625273, 11.245286, 12.220155 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }