{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1c574b9-7a50-4dd2-bc8b-f5c7e2a58e3a", "symbol": "BFS", "name": "Saul Centers Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 52.081, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.88, "architecture_energy": 14.277, "architecture_maturity": 73.934, "architecture_confidence": 82.721, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.05, "rotation_up": 22.08, "upward_expansion": 55.54, "deceleration": 87.71, "rotation_down": 36.91, "downward_expansion": 21.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.814645, 35.499708, 35.351853, 34.861392 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 34.01, "trend_reference": 34.151013, "distance_from_trend": -0.004129, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.649666, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.041665, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.549212, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.000617, "excess_performance": -0.126242, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.004129, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060285, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.041665, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050466, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065492, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056962, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000617, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.905627, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 567469, "relative_activity": 1.525842, "balance": 0.905627, "dry_up": 1.198669, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058505, "annualized_volatility": 0.219461, "from_high_reference": -0.100084, "from_low_reference": 0.20877 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.151013, "fair_value_reference": 32.649666, "structural_low": 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41.183302, "activity_lines": [ 36.343819, 36.029283, 35.164772, 34.531743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.65, "volume": 455404, "typical_volume": 352542.15, "trend": 33.760681, "fair_value": 32.59289, "relative_strength": 4.347493, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.627607, "energy": 42.185306, "activity_lines": [ 36.422709, 36.220435, 35.376613, 34.731833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.68, "volume": 442188, "typical_volume": 357753.45, "trend": 33.935277, "fair_value": 32.614772, "relative_strength": 2.245279, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.125444, "energy": 28.614029, "activity_lines": [ 36.190816, 36.208677, 35.481028, 34.85566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.07, "volume": 318106, "typical_volume": 362013.95, "trend": 34.055884, "fair_value": 32.638276, "relative_strength": -3.299813, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.196625, "energy": 15.163332, "activity_lines": [ 35.406356, 35.855465, 35.423088, 34.864352 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.01, "volume": 567469, "typical_volume": 371905.5, "trend": 34.151013, "fair_value": 32.649666, "relative_strength": -6.549212, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.87965, "energy": 14.276716, "activity_lines": [ 34.814645, 35.499708, 35.351853, 34.861392 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }