{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b1c66756-050c-4f2c-a9bb-9492fb65851f", "symbol": "DECP", "name": "PGIM S&P 500 BUFFER 12 ETF - DECEMBER", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.904, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.53, "architecture_energy": 70.675, "architecture_maturity": 12.722, "architecture_confidence": 78.58, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.02, "rotation_up": 71.56, "upward_expansion": 92.22, "deceleration": 41.93, "rotation_down": 17.16, "downward_expansion": 14.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.816067, 32.547962, 32.27501, 31.858357 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 33.24, "trend_reference": 31.387453, "distance_from_trend": 0.059022, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.307829, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.174233, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.245327, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080185, "excess_performance": -0.04544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059022, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023668, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.174233, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023422, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032453, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000869, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080185, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.902379, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24216, "relative_activity": 0.654536, "balance": 3.902379, "dry_up": 0.617912, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020232, "annualized_volatility": 0.135112, "from_high_reference": -0.005981, "from_low_reference": 0.174114 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.387453, "fair_value_reference": 28.307829, "structural_low": 29.1765, 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31.980793, 32.066027, 31.658854, 31.35432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.72, "volume": 8938, "typical_volume": 43774.3, "trend": 31.09963, "fair_value": 28.149921, "relative_strength": -2.702247, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.512686, "energy": 42.820398, "activity_lines": [ 32.20772, 32.185751, 31.801021, 31.464026 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.47, "volume": 36735, "typical_volume": 36003.4, "trend": 31.169367, "fair_value": 28.188152, "relative_strength": -1.867534, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.188905, "energy": 39.948876, "activity_lines": [ 32.314687, 32.241915, 31.909842, 31.552437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.447, "volume": 18764, "typical_volume": 36000.2, "trend": 31.230267, "fair_value": 28.225511, "relative_strength": -1.315629, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.328049, "energy": 52.501112, "activity_lines": [ 32.401187, 32.285169, 32.007824, 31.634865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.76, "volume": 11729, "typical_volume": 36299.9, "trend": 31.3056, "fair_value": 28.264941, "relative_strength": -1.380463, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.809964, "energy": 63.828673, "activity_lines": [ 32.595293, 32.378838, 32.125201, 31.733557 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.24, "volume": 24216, "typical_volume": 36997.2, "trend": 31.387453, "fair_value": 28.307829, "relative_strength": -3.245327, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.529653, "energy": 70.675116, "activity_lines": [ 32.816067, 32.547962, 32.27501, 31.858357 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }