{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b1de6f0b-edc9-41e4-9c48-5d1a0a75d640",
    "symbol": "117690",
    "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER China ETF",
    "exchange": "KSC",
    "country": "KR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^KS11",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -40.433,
    "architecture_energy": 21.192,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.281,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.058,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.52,
        "rotation_up": 24.42,
        "upward_expansion": 13.67,
        "deceleration": 46.46,
        "rotation_down": 34.69,
        "downward_expansion": 63.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        20742.666667,
        21000.88172
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 20315.0,
    "trend_reference": 21427.5,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.051919,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 17517.86864,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.159673,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -27.794145,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.102694,
    "excess_performance": -0.332523,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051919,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034463,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159673,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128995,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.277941,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195112,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102694,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.547288,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10584,
      "relative_activity": 0.597094,
      "balance": 0.547288,
      "dry_up": 0.797113,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052375,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.17754,
      "from_high_reference": -0.163691,
      "from_low_reference": 0.062222
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21427.5,
      "fair_value_reference": 17517.86864,
      "structural_low": 19125.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.02068,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028989,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.117323,
        "worst_return": -0.083398,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.004031,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.078874,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.314516,
        "worst_return": -0.101712,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.003484,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.155251,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.098091,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.094949,
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    ],
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        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.019629,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20625.0,
        "volume": 10012,
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        "trend": 21497.5,
        "fair_value": 17471.485921,
        "relative_strength": -31.37858,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20315.0,
        "volume": 10584,
        "typical_volume": 17725.85,
        "trend": 21427.5,
        "fair_value": 17517.86864,
        "relative_strength": -27.794145,
        "stage": 4,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}