{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b1fa1649-592d-4f73-a2ee-db38859353da",
    "symbol": "688305",
    "name": "KEDE Numerical Control Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 65.926,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -45.542,
    "architecture_energy": 44.225,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.466,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.596,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.06,
        "rotation_up": 9.16,
        "upward_expansion": 14.3,
        "deceleration": 48.69,
        "rotation_down": 66.5,
        "downward_expansion": 70.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.936,
        59.810364,
        61.758345,
        61.632296
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 57.630001,
    "trend_reference": 61.856017,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.06832,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 67.376222,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.144654,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.981191,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.056792,
    "excess_performance": -0.013588,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06832,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013247,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144654,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072745,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059812,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024275,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056792,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.107881,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12440380,
      "relative_activity": 0.932321,
      "balance": 1.107881,
      "dry_up": 1.169162,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.149436,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.573448,
      "from_high_reference": -0.269582,
      "from_low_reference": 0.137808
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.856017,
      "fair_value_reference": 67.376222,
      "structural_low": 50.650002,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.04731,
        "positive_rate": 0.176471,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.176471,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053257,
        "regime_survival": 0.470588,
        "best_return": 0.073744,
        "worst_return": -0.239181,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.10371,
        "positive_rate": 0.111111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.111111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086964,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.07018,
        "worst_return": -0.197857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.139689,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.134699,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.058716,
        "worst_return": -0.243388,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.124217,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.227271,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.112835,
        "worst_return": -0.349078,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
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        "return": 0.068771,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 13900892.15,
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        "fair_value": 68.069951,
        "relative_strength": -6.273085,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 52.0,
        "volume": 13771969,
        "typical_volume": 13707494.8,
        "trend": 62.163684,
        "fair_value": 67.804053,
        "relative_strength": -12.750483,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.38686,
        "energy": 19.616711,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.259998,
        "volume": 11404231,
        "typical_volume": 13318853.15,
        "trend": 61.995017,
        "fair_value": 67.553598,
        "relative_strength": -9.164006,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.283777,
        "energy": 33.007359,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.91,
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          61.91391
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 57.630001,
        "volume": 12440380,
        "typical_volume": 13343455.3,
        "trend": 61.856017,
        "fair_value": 67.376222,
        "relative_strength": -5.981191,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.541935,
        "energy": 44.225388,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}