{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b1fcf0bb-ec50-4a48-b7c4-08155993cd87",
    "symbol": "MVEW",
    "name": "iShares Edge MSCI World Minimum Volatility Advanced UCITS ETF USD (Acc)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.875,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.683,
    "architecture_energy": 87.699,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.626,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.07,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.03,
        "rotation_up": 86.03,
        "upward_expansion": 97.11,
        "deceleration": 39.05,
        "rotation_down": 8.51,
        "downward_expansion": 19.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        8.206956,
        8.173796
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 8.52,
    "trend_reference": 8.15055,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.045328,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.433072,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.146229,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.118207,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.032727,
    "excess_performance": -0.083935,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045328,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00792,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146229,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044047,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061182,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001681,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032727,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.059464,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4555,
      "relative_activity": 0.317249,
      "balance": 3.059464,
      "dry_up": 1.298023,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015141,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.086518,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005486,
      "from_low_reference": 0.09277
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.15055,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.433072,
      "structural_low": 7.8613,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.002684,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.041636,
        "worst_return": -0.06032,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.041071,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.095365,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.106857,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 20660.65,
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        "energy": 7.293795,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -6.692581,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 16.874462,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -8.114629,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 14.054028,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 16171.75,
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        "fair_value": 7.369358,
        "relative_strength": -8.098671,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.141936,
        "energy": 18.219881,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 8938,
        "typical_volume": 15656.2,
        "trend": 8.109743,
        "fair_value": 7.381582,
        "relative_strength": -7.764608,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.090552,
        "energy": 35.4398,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 8.304,
        "volume": 31791,
        "typical_volume": 15941.1,
        "trend": 8.117247,
        "fair_value": 7.39357,
        "relative_strength": -7.620487,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.719296,
        "energy": 73.713543,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.2236,
          8.171636,
          8.121276,
          8.120704
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.285,
        "volume": 22449,
        "typical_volume": 14086.05,
        "trend": 8.123703,
        "fair_value": 7.405493,
        "relative_strength": -7.418889,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.21884,
        "energy": 75.976152,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.262867,
          8.197418,
          8.139633,
          8.131527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.395,
        "volume": 15752,
        "typical_volume": 14642.55,
        "trend": 8.136127,
        "fair_value": 7.418892,
        "relative_strength": -6.720053,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.616321,
        "energy": 81.234741,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.317533,
          8.239,
          8.168005,
          8.14903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.52,
        "volume": 4555,
        "typical_volume": 14357.8,
        "trend": 8.15055,
        "fair_value": 7.433072,
        "relative_strength": -6.118207,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.683314,
        "energy": 87.698901,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.393,
          8.2992,
          8.206956,
          8.173796
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}