{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b20105a3-573e-47a7-912e-2c664b0143b2",
    "symbol": "ILCB",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST MORNINGSTAR US EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.843,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.439,
    "architecture_energy": 56.19,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.099,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.198,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.41,
        "rotation_up": 55.29,
        "upward_expansion": 81.4,
        "deceleration": 62.88,
        "rotation_down": 26.31,
        "downward_expansion": 8.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        100.662244
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 107.2153,
    "trend_reference": 98.291131,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090793,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 80.356788,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.334241,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.079888,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.128832,
    "excess_performance": 0.003207,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090793,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034446,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334241,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005829,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000799,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002874,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128832,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.056141,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 106002,
      "relative_activity": 1.508109,
      "balance": 3.056141,
      "dry_up": 0.860819,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023987,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.142464,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003853,
      "from_low_reference": 0.235836
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 98.291131,
      "fair_value_reference": 80.356788,
      "structural_low": 86.755303,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.013965,
        "positive_rate": 0.684211,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.684211,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000261,
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        "best_return": 0.064348,
        "worst_return": -0.045547,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.055244,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.118207,
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 95668.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 78.6458,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 59.672481,
        "energy": 48.848605,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 80369.2,
        "trend": 96.679399,
        "fair_value": 78.935424,
        "relative_strength": 0.144519,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 80026.55,
        "trend": 97.047231,
        "fair_value": 79.223915,
        "relative_strength": 0.062848,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 102.95,
        "volume": 52472,
        "typical_volume": 79253.4,
        "trend": 97.35507,
        "fair_value": 79.49876,
        "relative_strength": -0.037234,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.428457,
        "energy": 49.344072,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 102.2941,
        "volume": 30810,
        "typical_volume": 78017.95,
        "trend": 97.596585,
        "fair_value": 79.765579,
        "relative_strength": -0.083872,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.52131,
        "energy": 46.464927,
        "activity_lines": [
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          99.689111
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 103.37,
        "volume": 52737,
        "typical_volume": 68298.85,
        "trend": 97.905152,
        "fair_value": 80.048057,
        "relative_strength": -0.122242,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.246084,
        "energy": 44.550566,
        "activity_lines": [
          103.171553,
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          102.048935,
          100.061589
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 107.2153,
        "volume": 106002,
        "typical_volume": 70288.0,
        "trend": 98.291131,
        "fair_value": 80.356788,
        "relative_strength": 0.079888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.438974,
        "energy": 56.190359,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}