{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b20c324a-8dc9-4266-b85e-276fb137b6b9", "symbol": "KBC", "name": "KBC Group NV", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.294, "architecture_energy": 90.014, "architecture_maturity": 30.629, "architecture_confidence": 73.314, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.29, "rotation_up": 82.04, "upward_expansion": 98.61, "deceleration": 39.82, "rotation_down": 12.7, "downward_expansion": 20.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 124.513333, 122.257273, 118.299918, 115.461136 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 128.0, "trend_reference": 112.988661, "distance_from_trend": 0.132857, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 78.05828, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.6398, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.772021, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104195, "excess_performance": -0.070052, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132857, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046778, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.6398, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112775, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02772, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021773, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104195, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.279661, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 6.279661, "dry_up": 0.00908, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030512, "annualized_volatility": 0.230478, "from_high_reference": -0.014247, "from_low_reference": 0.384685 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 112.988661, "fair_value_reference": 78.05828, "structural_low": 96.408593, "invalidation": "A 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109.507469, 109.299779 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 114.900002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 95.15, "trend": 108.792351, "fair_value": 74.636201, "relative_strength": -7.499695, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.404379, "energy": 62.788338, "activity_lines": [ 113.630002, 112.34754, 110.033972, 109.721983 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 119.75, "volume": 180, "typical_volume": 104.15, "trend": 109.392131, "fair_value": 75.063201, "relative_strength": -7.520517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.171531, "energy": 75.651907, "activity_lines": [ 115.960001, 113.797943, 111.006595, 110.428928 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 117.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 104.15, "trend": 109.886397, "fair_value": 75.482123, "relative_strength": -7.49341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", 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-4.702847, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.737064, "energy": 77.405327, "activity_lines": [ 119.963333, 118.130001, 114.61665, 112.891256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 122.800003, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 96.1, "trend": 111.898355, "fair_value": 77.162579, "relative_strength": -3.946568, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.569212, "energy": 83.213238, "activity_lines": [ 120.986668, 119.321819, 115.711067, 113.628756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 124.699997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 87.1, "trend": 112.39975, "fair_value": 77.59313, "relative_strength": -2.490411, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.591657, "energy": 82.616778, "activity_lines": [ 122.44, 120.6, 116.899076, 114.454669 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 128.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 82.6, "trend": 112.988661, "fair_value": 78.05828, "relative_strength": -2.772021, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.293515, "energy": 90.01443, "activity_lines": [ 124.513333, 122.257273, 118.299918, 115.461136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }