{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b221ee71-1c30-4148-b584-af9a3d56d7d5", "symbol": "SWRD", "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI World UCITS ETF", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.525, "architecture_energy": 68.483, "architecture_maturity": 79.316, "architecture_confidence": 70.124, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.12, "rotation_up": 55.09, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.12, "rotation_down": 28.32, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.118734, 45.8986, 45.201153, 44.266822 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 47.048, "trend_reference": 43.175034, "distance_from_trend": 0.089704, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.493699, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.289209, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.678211, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.143524, "excess_performance": 0.026861, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089704, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041631, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.289209, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042704, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006782, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027655, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143524, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.504628, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 205861, "relative_activity": 1.206374, "balance": 2.504628, "dry_up": 1.147542, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017699, "annualized_volatility": 0.106401, "from_high_reference": -0.002015, "from_low_reference": 0.243012 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.175034, "fair_value_reference": 36.493699, "structural_low": 39.192001, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.644662, "energy": 81.255831, "activity_lines": [ 45.494467, 45.173819, 43.950577, 43.187899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.119999, "volume": 255605, "typical_volume": 179053.7, "trend": 42.502767, "fair_value": 36.042301, "relative_strength": 1.199269, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.58533, "energy": 85.641067, "activity_lines": [ 45.747067, 45.422091, 44.252991, 43.433749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 45.652, "volume": 264290, "typical_volume": 183237.4, "trend": 42.6724, "fair_value": 36.153295, "relative_strength": -0.577967, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.688372, "energy": 76.532615, "activity_lines": [ 45.7748, 45.524891, 44.489272, 43.636925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.783001, "volume": 156149, "typical_volume": 176815.6, "trend": 42.8393, "fair_value": 36.262269, "relative_strength": -0.138061, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.365878, "energy": 64.465712, "activity_lines": [ 45.798867, 45.615419, 44.718377, 43.837609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.442001, "volume": 156987, "typical_volume": 174017.85, "trend": 42.9979, "fair_value": 36.372167, "relative_strength": -1.675109, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.112882, "energy": 59.496559, "activity_lines": [ 45.6988, 45.615928, 44.894115, 44.005525 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.048, "volume": 205861, "typical_volume": 170644.45, "trend": 43.175034, "fair_value": 36.493699, "relative_strength": 0.678211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.524849, "energy": 68.483428, "activity_lines": [ 46.118734, 45.8986, 45.201153, 44.266822 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }