{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b22ae664-ab9e-4fea-84b6-1ba90c4a6e3b", "symbol": "AAT", "name": "American Assets Trust Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.018, "architecture_energy": 32.071, "architecture_maturity": 93.987, "architecture_confidence": 76.781, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.79, "rotation_up": 33.52, "upward_expansion": 68.38, "deceleration": 85.5, "rotation_down": 27.86, "downward_expansion": 18.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.836667, 24.312727, 23.523636, 22.432941 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.83, "trend_reference": 20.996225, "distance_from_trend": 0.087338, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.870101, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148962, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.886199, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.24377, "excess_performance": 0.118145, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087338, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107001, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.148962, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073185, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.018862, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035566, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.24377, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.252308, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2195178, "relative_activity": 1.144951, "balance": 1.252308, "dry_up": 1.063251, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056994, "annualized_volatility": 0.235904, "from_high_reference": -0.120909, "from_low_reference": 0.329402 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.996225, "fair_value_reference": 19.870101, "structural_low": 17.250671, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.011247, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.011289, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.089431, "worst_return": -0.081888, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.017977, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.050276, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.195496, "worst_return": -0.110253, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009052, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.058217, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.063688, "worst_return": -0.06311, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 25.12, "volume": 1886681, "typical_volume": 1937832.4, "trend": 20.220128, "fair_value": 19.72791, "relative_strength": 15.682432, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.808568, "energy": 68.375269, "activity_lines": [ 25.046, 24.296567, 22.643949, 21.527323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.51, "volume": 1708253, "typical_volume": 1902806.5, "trend": 20.46475, "fair_value": 19.774379, "relative_strength": 19.00838, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.572767, "energy": 69.693647, "activity_lines": [ 25.264667, 24.669564, 23.044832, 21.868605 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.3, "volume": 1922760, "typical_volume": 1894730.95, "trend": 20.664192, "fair_value": 19.810909, "relative_strength": 13.832008, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.490649, "energy": 64.270115, "activity_lines": [ 25.006667, 24.735913, 23.299085, 22.11604 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.59, "volume": 2327958, "typical_volume": 1920563.7, "trend": 20.843845, "fair_value": 19.842355, "relative_strength": 9.082887, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.499278, "energy": 49.545965, "activity_lines": [ 24.495333, 24.603684, 23.459632, 22.304802 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.83, "volume": 2195178, "typical_volume": 1917268.05, "trend": 20.996225, "fair_value": 19.870101, "relative_strength": 1.886199, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.018095, "energy": 32.071289, "activity_lines": [ 23.836667, 24.312727, 23.523636, 22.432941 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }